Kinect will be more successful than most ppl's predictions  imo.

We have to wait and see.

Don't forget Move will be released 2 months earlier than Kinect :)

Well Kinect is a lot more advertised right now bigger user base in US, that's expected. Kinect should outsell Move in the US and Kinect was on Jimmy Fallon last night

I know of a few people who preordered Kinect on Amazon in the event it comes out at under $99.

Some might drop it if it is over $99, but they all want it if it comes in at that price.

It is like saving your spot inline for free (I even did this and do not have a 360 yet)

Looks like kinect is gonna dominate the move :)

Hardly a revolution, remember the eyetoy? (or Playstation Eye - for PS3) this does the same job. The only thing that's different is that Kinect creates a character based on your movements whereas the eyetoy just showed an image of you.

It does have depth perception - which might be nice but i can't see the games that it's used for being any more serious than Wii games. If you're a driving game fan you're always going to prefer a steering wheel and pedals in front of you than pretending they're there. If you're an FPS fan you're going to want something to aim with rather than just pointing your finger at the screen.

Why would new owners spend $300 on a 360 and $150 for Kinect (and no games bundled with Kinect btw) when they can do they can get a Wii that's ready to go with 2 games for even less than half the price? And even worse, the main Kinect games are Kinect Sports, Dance Central, Ubisoft Fitness, and Kinectimals. Those 3 are just clones of some of the highest selling Wii games, and Kinectimals is already out. It's called EyePet.

I'm sure they'll bundle it, but as it stands, there's going to be a $299 new 360, and Kinect is at $150 even according to Microsoft. PS3/Move bundle at least comes with a game. So, you can't make it seem like it's silly for new owners to get Move, because at this stage in the game, it's even SILLIER for them to get Kinect by your logic

Also, Move doesn't have the "new" factor that the Wii has, so it won't sell outside it's core audience? Hello! The core audience has called Wii gimmicky and "the games are for kids" since launch. Why would the core audience buy the same thing just cause it's on the PS3? Wii Sports is for kids, but Sports Champions is for the hardcore? Come on now, I know PS fans aren't the favorites on forums, but THAT much hypocrisy just doesn't exist

what happened to ze lead?

The Navigation is only sold seperately, but move is available by itself or with the sports game. So its most likely some people are buying the bundle and the nav, while others are just buying the move and the nav.

I would guess if there was a shortage of Move vs Kinect at launch  it would be Kinect. When has there ever been a shortage of a controller? PS EYE is already out. I can't see any need to preorder a controller.

 So if I was going to buy  Kinect and/or Move at launch, I would preorder Kinect but not Move.

As others have stated, don't put too much faith in the pre-orders of Amazon.  Not only does it fluctuate grreatly, but I'm sure retail chains (Wal-mart/Target) represent a much higher amount of sales than sites like Amazon, Gamestop and Ebay.  Besides, at this moment in time, Kinect is only at #27.  We really have to wait till the ad campaigns come to judge anything.  I expect pre-orders/sales to definitely rise when Sony starts the Coke advertising.