Carl2291 said:
I don't really think WSR and WF+ are pushing the HW that much, i think the only siginificant boost is coming from NSMB. With the PS3's pretty big lineup in Q1/Q2, will NSMB be enough to get people choosing Wii over PS3? Sure, it has SMG2 in the early months... But as i said in the other thread, will it move significant hardware?
Someone, please... Wii lineup. It would make this conversation a lot easier
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I think Galaxy 2 will drive about as much hardware as Yazkua 4 or Versus.
The real problem here is Nintendo's new ideology of holding back announcements until just before release (which is very much in contrast to Sony's or Microsoft's methodology). We probably won't know the full Q1 lineup until Jan's retailer conference for example, and we currently have no clue for the rest of the year (maybe Galaxy 2 for Golden Week, Zelda for the holiday... and uh, not much else?). Wii's fortunes could shift pretty fast if we're suddenly looking at MH3G, DQVII and Inazuma Break all within the year (all potential million sellers), which is honestly pretty likely considering everything we know now (DQ franchise migration/history, MH3 western release in Q2 & rumors, Inazuma rumors). Then you also have Nintendo's lineup, though I'll admit 2010 isn't near as strong there as 2009, though this is somewhat mitigated by 2009's 2nd half evergreens versus the tepidness of 2008's 2nd half failed evergreens.
Like I said before though, barring a surprise DQX holiday launch, NSMBWii will probably be 2010's best seller on consoles and drive significant hardware. Hell, it even has a shot at outselling Yakuza 4, GT5 and Versus combined.