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Forums - Sales - Famitsu Game Chartz 11/29-12/06 (NSMBWii rules all)

Damn Japan = Nintendo land. Hell America and others also= Nintendo land. I guess its official psp go is a no go. Getting outsold by 360 in Japan? But good numbers all around. I wonder if Wii sales will increase further with ToG and also the drop for nsmb. Would be hilarious if Wii outsold ps3 on ffxiii's release.



Bet between Slimbeast and Arius Dion about Wii sales 2009:


If the Wii sells less than 20 million in 2009 (as defined by VGC sales between week ending 3d Jan 2009 to week ending 4th Jan 2010) Slimebeast wins and get to control Arius Dion's sig for 1 month.

If the Wii sells more than 20 million in 2009 (as defined above) Arius Dion wins and gets to control Slimebeast's sig for 1 month.

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The way I look at FFXIII is like this -

Say it has a 50% bigger opening than NSMB Wii, and comes in at 1,350,000 week one. Well, the PS3 costs 50% more than Wii does in Japan, 30,000 Yen to 20,000 Yen. So to have a bigger lift than Wii just had, ~60k - mostly due to NSMB Wii - then it needs to sell far more than 1.35m week one. PS3 will be able to get to perhaps 60,000 next week, so it will easily clear 100,000 on a 60k FFXIII rise, and the next mid December season lift. But even with a 1,350,000 debut, pushing 60,000 PS3s I don't know that it can push PS3 much past 135,000 or so in Japan, even with the normal lift you'd see from the Dec 13 to Dec 20 weeks that doesn't include FFXIII.



People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.

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Edit: OP FINALLY updated



I think that the PS3 can easily manage to sell over 200k units, let's take into account that in April with the Final Fantasy XIII demo it sold 57k units, the previous week it was at 17k.



trestres said:


I think he is Crazzyman.

I think his English is a touch too good. Plus I think Crazzyman is actually IP banned.

@PS3 predictions
250k is way way too high. DQIX couldn't even get the DS that high, and it is selling way better than the PS3, and Dragon Quest is a bigger series. Keeping predictions reasonable is key. I think 175k is probably too high as well based on what we have seen, but I don't know quite how to factor in the holiday boost.



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Bruno Muñoz B said:

I think that the PS3 can easily manage to sell over 200k units, let's take into account that in April with the Final Fantasy XIII demo it sold 57k units, the previous week it was at 17k.


That's why I think it will not be as big because the demo, the anouncement pre console release and some other games could have make the impact weaker



yeah i think 175k for the PS3 seems abt right, and i wouldnt be surprised if it sold more. Thing is that one of the most popular franchises in Japan is not on the most popular console, so i think their's gonna be a shift in userbase. I fully expect 150k PS3's in the bag on that week, question is how much more.

Another thing, if its true abt SW3 being sold out then thatss awesome, hopefully it can continue to sell well during the holidays. Plus Pokepark Wii does very well! And in general Wii hardware was predictable, even though i predicted slightly more but it's nonetheless Wii's biggest week of the year, let's see if it sustains numbers for next week



175,000 is more than what DS did at a cheaper price with DQIX selling 2,350,000 week one.

Beyond that even when PS3 had the 10,000 Yen price and new model introduced simultaneously along with some new software, it only jumped to 153,000.

 



People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.

When there are more laws, there are more criminals.

- Lao Tzu

TheSource said:

The way I look at FFXIII is like this -

Say it has a 50% bigger opening than NSMB Wii, and comes in at 1,350,000 week one. Well, the PS3 costs 50% more than Wii does in Japan, 30,000 Yen to 20,000 Yen. So to have a bigger lift than Wii just had, ~60k - mostly due to NSMB Wii - then it needs to sell far more than 1.35m week one. PS3 will be able to get to perhaps 60,000 next week, so it will easily clear 100,000 on a 60k FFXIII rise, and the next mid December season lift. But even with a 1,350,000 debut, pushing 60,000 PS3s I don't know that it can push PS3 much past 135,000 or so in Japan, even with the normal lift you'd see from the Dec 13 to Dec 20 weeks that doesn't include FFXIII.

Didn't the FFXIII demo move around that number of units when the PS3 was more expensive and the demo didn't sell nearly the same number of units as NSMBWii?

 

Anyway the big lift effect will come from the bundle, did NSMBWii have a bundle ?

Don't forget a game like MGS4 that didn't break 700k week one still moved 100k units of a more expensive PS3 at a time outside of the holydays...



PS3-Xbox360 gap : 1.5 millions and going up in PS3 favor !

PS3-Wii gap : 20 millions and going down !

Gnizmo said:
trestres said:


I think he is Crazzyman.

I think his English is a touch too good. Plus I think Crazzyman is actually IP banned.

@PS3 predictions
250k is way way too high. DQIX couldn't even get the DS that high, and it is selling way better than the PS3, and Dragon Quest is a bigger series. Keeping predictions reasonable is key. I think 175k is probably too high as well based on what we have seen, but I don't know quite how to factor in the holiday boost.


IP banishment is actually useless due to the amount of proxy servers out there and if you have a dynamic IP address it wouldn't be of any use.

Still, I agree his English is kind of better, but is still pretty bad. And browsing through his post history I've found some posts that point out in that direction.

I hope I'm wrong, but I think he is Crazzy, or at least someone who thinks the PS3 will win this gen by over 40 million units.



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