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Forums - Sales - Pachter PREDICTS November NPD Sales, 700K (Ps3), 650K (360), wii > 1 Mill!


Super Analyst Michael Pachter, of Wedbush Morgan, has brought out his crystal ball once again to make some more of his (normally credible) predictions. With the NPDs several days away, Patcher decided to jump the gun with numbers of his own to give people an idea what to expect.

The more obvious note he made was of what games will to expect to top of the software chart. Modern Warfare 2, Assasin's Creed 2, Left For Dead 2, and New Super Mario Bros. Wii are all expected to outsell everything else, according to Patcher. Then come the pretty sketchy hardware sales predictions.

“We estimate sell-through of 1,050,000 Wii hardware units (down 49% from last year), 650,000 Xbox 360 (down 22% from last year), and 700,000 PS3 consoles (up 85% year over year),” said Pachter.

Sound realistic? The Wii has had many promotions to go along with it's $199 price cut (like the Wal*Mart $50 gift card), so it wouldn't be a surprise if it broke one million. The PS3 outselling the 360 sounds like a definite possibility as well.

We'll have the NPD sales numbers for November available to you guys when they release this Thursday.

http://www.ironstarmovement.com/profiles/blogs/pachter-predicts-november-game

___________________

hmmmmm

he's lower on PS360 than VGChartz is



All hail the KING, Andrespetmonkey

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I will predict that some of his predictions will be unpredictable wrong.



Currently playing on PS3: God of War III

Currently playing on Xbox360: Final Fantasy XIII

Currently playing on NDS: Chrono Trigger

Well here is VGC HW and SW for America's in November

Hardware

Console Monthly Total
1,665,039 (+201%) 40,459,791
1,373,846 (+87%) 27,012,225
840,249 (+126%) 10,930,133
805,161 (+150%) 19,711,221
307,746 (+79%) 18,017,607
205,244 (+96%) 51,299,472
Pos Console Name Publisher Week Monthly Total
1
Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 2
Activision 3 4,330,757 4,330,757
2
Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 2
Activision 3 2,189,923 2,189,923
3
New Super Mario Bros. Wii
Nintendo 3 1,550,681 1,550,681
4
Wii Sports
Nintendo 158 1,373,846 27,012,225
5
Left 4 Dead 2
Electronic Arts 2 874,349 874,349
6
Assassin's Creed II
Ubisoft 2 844,140 844,140
7
Wii Fit Plus
Nintendo 9 840,491 1,369,870
8
Wii Sports Resort
Nintendo 23 721,443 3,035,908
9
Assassin's Creed II
Ubisoft 2 508,365 508,365
10
Dragon Age: Origins
Electronic Arts 4 507,026 507,026
11
Forza Motorsport 3
Microsoft 6 454,886 698,534
12
Mario Kart Wii
Nintendo 86 395,147 8,162,726
13
Halo 3: ODST
Microsoft 10 339,819 2,644,906
14
Borderlands
2K Games 6 307,079 638,507
15
Lego Batman: The Videogame
Warner Bros. Interactive 62 284,345 684,078
16
Pure
Disney Interactive Studios 63 273,727 558,001
17
God of War Collection
Sony Computer Entertainment 2 261,065 261,065
18
Dragon Age: Origins
Electronic Arts 4 258,674 258,674
19
Mario & Luigi: Bowser's Inside Story
Nintendo 42 245,945 593,709
20
Uncharted 2: Among Thieves
Sony Computer Entertainment 7 238,369 894,284


@VGC numbers: the Wii is not gonna be so close to the DS, either the DS will be over 2 million or the Wii will be near 1 million.



Currently playing on PS3: God of War III

Currently playing on Xbox360: Final Fantasy XIII

Currently playing on NDS: Chrono Trigger

probably more like 1.2 mil wiis, 900k PS3 750k 360



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He's correct IMO.



that looks ok but i would say the ps3 outsold the 360 by about 100k



Haha! Like the Wii will only break a million because of the Walmart gift card promotion, lol!

But wait, are we really gettin' NPD numbers THIS Thursday?



That's unfortunate because if they have a hard time accurately tracking Walmart sales that'll always be most detrimental to Wii.



NPD doesnt track walmart do they?



Nobody's perfect. I aint nobody!!!

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