Just a thing I don't understand from your post: the FY ends on March, and at March probably Wii will have sold over 65m; you speak of 75m at least in 2010: that would be reeeeeallly bad for Nintendo, the half of the Wiis sold the year before? Over 80m by the end of FY 2010 should be a safe bet, considering 2010 for our Nintendo gamers is gonna being a better year than 2009 (at least seeing the list of games) and that America still lacks a Black Wii and there could be bundles or surprise hits (like Vitality sensor) I would say 20m or over are very possible.

And I don't deny that Wii will reach 100m, it's a successful console like GBA, which sold great even after DS' launch.

Buzzi; remember, last December, it was also a certainty that the Wii would pass 75 million or at the very, very least 70 million by 2009, this was the consensus of analysts on the site's team and users who both liked and disliked the console itself (there were excpetions, many lowballed it to the extreme, I think Crazzyman said 60 million, which, ironically, will be closer than the average "insightful" user... ). This year has been full of signs that we can't predict solely based on current trends, the ups and downs of this gen are staggering and I for one won't make the mistake of overestimating any console as much as I did last year again (my predictions in the sig shows that I was way off).

Of course, based on what I said above, there could also be a giant upswing but I see no feasible reason for it at this point barring perhaps further price cuts and more colors, customization and successful peripherals.

Some nice numbers buzzi, I hope that's not an optimistic prediction, I think it's safe to assume that the Wii has topped 60 Million at last, or is it very close, like 59.75 Million or something?

Will only hit 59.2m-59.6m this week.

Probably sell 63m by the end of 2009.
End of 2010 - 78m
End of 2011- 90m