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Forums - Sales - This week's japan sales wii 100k yay or nay?

daveJ on 29 November 2009

I see both ioi and The Source are picking this week for wiis sales to to top 100k in japan due to NSMBwii, I believe The Source mentioned 130k.

I dont see it happening, The wii pricecut didnt help sales *that* much

So whats everyones bets will it or wont it?



All bow to me the VGChartz current reigning 3DS prediction champion 

 Bet with tbone51: Pokeon X & pokemon Y will not sell more than 8 million in 2013

 jarrod said:The Xbox360 or ps3 will not sell more than 75million units

July 2009 daveJ said: True the wii has a large lead now but by 2017 the most likely result will be 1. ps3 2. xbox360 3. wii <-- wii's successor launched in 2011 effectively killing sales of the wii

 2009 daveJ said: The wii will not break the 50% marketshare barrier it will go below the 40% marketshare barrier though in the future. VGChartz members: Impossible, youre an idiot that knows nothing about sales

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leo-j on 29 November 2009

WTF? 130K???



 

mM
Xen on 29 November 2009

130 what?



psrock on 29 November 2009

It's mainly due to two reasons

1. December : Sales usually picks up during that time for the Wii
2. NSWB Wii

there are also a couple bundles out there.

over 100k, you bet



 Next Gen 

11/20/09 04:25 makingmusic476 Warning Other (Your avatar is borderline NSFW. Please keep it for as long as possible.)
sabby_e17 on 29 November 2009

130K seems too much. But 100K is possible.




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kingofwale on 29 November 2009

Japan is pretty unpredictable, so, I'm not going to bet on it

although if I were to go with a prediction, I'd say 83,000



Soriku (Feb 10/08): In 5 years the PS3/360 will be dead.

KH3 bet: "If KH3 comes to Wii exclusive, I will take a 1 month of sig/avatar by otheres open a thread apologize and praise you guys' brilliance." http://vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?start=50&id=18379
Original cast: Badonkadonkhr, sc94597 allaboutthegames885, kingofwale, Soriku, ctk495, skeezer, RDBRaptor, Mirson,

Episode 1: OOPSY!
selnor: Too Human I even expect 3-4 mill entire life and 500,000 first day. GoW2 ( expect 7 - 9 million entire life and over 2 mill first day), Fable 2 (expect 5-6 million entire life and 1.5 mill fist day) BK3 (expect 4 - 5 mill sales entire life and 1 mill first day).. Tales/IU/TLR should get to 2 or 3 million! post id: 868878
Episode 2:
Letsdance: FFXIII (PS3+360) first week in NA = 286K
According to pre-order rate in week 13 (post id: 2902544)
leo-j on 29 November 2009

Who said 130k? I'd like a link for that



 

mM
gurglesletch on 29 November 2009

No comment on that. The wii is unpredictable though so expect the unexpected




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binary solo on 29 November 2009

I really don't know. How much Mario love is already contained within the Wii instal base in Japan? Quite a bit I'd think. Baseline Wii sales are about 10% down on last year. First week of December 2008 saw Wii at 55K. So baseline this year is about 50K. NSMB Wii effect to be >100% of baseline? This is already after you have 2 very successful Mario titles on the Wii in MK Wii and SMG, being triple million seller and million seller in Japan respectively.

We've seen the NSMB boost for America and it was probably around 25-30%. Is Japan that much more Mario obsessed that the Mario boost would be 3-4 times the Americas boost?

What were the NSMB boost predictions for the Americas?

I've been wrong with nearly every Wii prediction because I've seriously underestimated its hold on the gaming public. I find it hard to reason that there would be a boost to Wii above 100K therefore it will probably do it.

Whatever the boost happens to be it will be well above whatever PS3 achieves.



“The fundamental cause of the trouble is that in the modern world the stupid are cocksure while the intelligent are full of doubt.” - Bertrand Russell

"When the power of love overcomes the love of power, the world will know peace."

Jimi Hendrix

 

Avinash_Tyagi on 29 November 2009

^Didn't people say that NSMB Wii wouldn't push sales of the Wii only to be proven wrong last week?



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)