I really don't know. How much Mario love is already contained within the Wii instal base in Japan? Quite a bit I'd think. Baseline Wii sales are about 10% down on last year. First week of December 2008 saw Wii at 55K. So baseline this year is about 50K. NSMB Wii effect to be >100% of baseline? This is already after you have 2 very successful Mario titles on the Wii in MK Wii and SMG, being triple million seller and million seller in Japan respectively.
We've seen the NSMB boost for America and it was probably around 25-30%. Is Japan that much more Mario obsessed that the Mario boost would be 3-4 times the Americas boost?
What were the NSMB boost predictions for the Americas?
I've been wrong with nearly every Wii prediction because I've seriously underestimated its hold on the gaming public. I find it hard to reason that there would be a boost to Wii above 100K therefore it will probably do it.
Whatever the boost happens to be it will be well above whatever PS3 achieves.
“The fundamental cause of the trouble is that in the modern world the stupid are cocksure while the intelligent are full of doubt.” - Bertrand Russell
"When the power of love overcomes the love of power, the world will know peace."
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