Aj_habfan said: Going by that site, FFXIII will be 3x as big... so an opening week of 1m seems out of the question. |
I knew some were going to misunderstand this. See if you would look at the history of this site and their numbers you can see that games like FF and the Tailsseries are more dependent on bigger numbers on this site than games like Mario to have a big debut. FF13 will have a monsterdebut no doubt about that but it won´t be that much bigger compared to NSMBW as this figures seem to show. This is what I wrote earlier in this thread:
Also keep in mind when comparing games on this chart that "hardcore games" or whatever we´re supposed to call them (games like FF, Tales series, MH etc.) are higher represented in this list compared to games that sell with legs and that usually aren´t as likely to depend on huge preordernumbers. Mario is somewhere in the middle, not very dependent on huge points on Comgnet ranking system. NSMB for DS had a massive debut week with 865 k according to Famitsu but "only" had a final day ranking of 688 pt according to Comgnet when it comes to preorders. As you can see this makes NSMBW´s numbers look mighty good already.
To judge how Marios new outing is going to debut it´s more relevant to compare NSMBW numbers with NSMB for DS than with numbers for FF13. And NSMBW is tracking above NSMB.
Edit: To be more exact. Games like Final Fantasy and the Tailes series are overrepresented on this list compared to how the games actually debut in sales. This also means that Tales of Graces for instance will debut much lower behind NSMBW than these figures show. The best way to analyse these numbers is to compare games with previous ones in the same genre, for instance NSMBW with NSMB, FF13 with FF12, Tales of Graces with Tales of Vesperia etc. If you go to Nipponsalesage there is a link that goes to the history of these charts where you can look up daily rankings all the way back to 2005 I believe.