Ok, I'll be the first to say sure why not, its possible. While I think it will top out at around 12-13M, if all of those things you listed happen then I can say it is a possibility.
My god, what the hell is up with all the crazy predictions today? No, it won't, it'll be lucky to hit 10 million given how unpopular the PS3 is compared to the PS2.
| Vetteman94 said: Ok, I'll be the first to say sure why not, its possible. While I think it will top out at around 12-13M, if all of those things you listed happen then I can say it is a possibility. |
Well yahh thats why i listed then, things would have to go really well for it to hit 20m. But they are possible.
| Barozi said: The generation will be over before the PS3 even has the userbase to do this. |
care to be more specific as in what would the attach rate have to be in your opinion and on how big a userbase.
Basically, previous GT games have hit around 12M on average on/in:
- Consoles with larger userbases
- Consoles with more advertising and media attention
- Consoles that sold more software
- Times when racing sims seem to have been more popular
So GT5 is not going to sell an extra 7 or 8 million taking all this into consideration, if anything it will sell less, but I'd say it will hit around 9M when all is done.
20M/26.35M = 75.9% attach rate. oh sure, the user base will grow but don't you think that's a tad optimistic?..by like 10M.
This is the second most ridiculous sales thread made today.
Well, at least you had reasoning.
(Former) Lead Moderator and (Eternal) VGC Detective 
it will do over 10 million easy. i think it will match GT4 11 millions. and go between GT4-3 numbers
GT4 sold just over 10m.
PS2 has a user base of 132m.
PS3 should easily be 30m by the time GT5 is released.
A game selling 100% more than the previous edition on a console with 20% of the user base? Not bloody likely.
I'm not a hardcore gamer. I'm not a casual gamer. I'm a gamer.
| Yugemos said: GT4 sold just over 10m. PS2 has a user base of 132m. PS3 should easily be 30m by the time GT5 is released. A game selling 100% more than the previous edition on a console with 20% of the user base? Not bloody likely. |
GT4 was not the first full fledged GT title on the PS2 like GT5 will be on the PS3
PS2 starting userbases for GT3 and GT4 were 11M and 74M respectively. Thats the only numbers you can truely use since we dont know what the final userbase for the PS3 will be
True, but it could be higher depending on the holiday season and when it releases in EU and NA since it is only confirmed to release in Japan in March 2010.
It would only be 33% more than the comparable GT title from the PS2 with 300% of the starting userbase
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