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Forums - Sales - Predict Sales for FFXIII, NSMBWii, ToG and SW3 in Japan

RicHo on 16 November 2009

NSMB Wii:

1st Week --- 766K
LTD --- 3.36 Million

SW 3:

1st Week --- 116K
LTD --- 236K

Tales of Grace:

1st Week --- 236K
LTD --- 466K

FF XIII:

1st Week --- 1.96 Million
LTD --- 2.66 Million



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FinalEvangelion on 16 November 2009
Soriku said:
jarrod said:

Current COMGNET preorder figures for each (anyone know how to extrapolate them?)....

ToG 206

NSMBWii 103

SM3 49, SM3+CCPro 30

FFXIII 1203


Wait...what are these numbers? 206/1203/whatever of what?

 

I believe it's the number of pre orders at the specific store / retailer.



"Naturally the common people don't want war: Neither in Russia, nor in England, nor for that matter in Germany. That is understood. But, after all, IT IS THE LEADERS of the country who determine the policy and it is always a simple matter to drag the people along, whether it is a democracy, or a fascist dictatorship, or a parliament, or a communist dictatorship. Voice or no voice, the people can always be brought to the bidding of the leaders. That is easy. All you have to do is TELL THEM THEY ARE BEING ATTACKED, and denounce the peacemakers for lack of patriotism and exposing the country to danger. IT WORKS THE SAME IN ANY COUNTRY."  --Hermann Goering, leading Nazi party member, at the Nuremberg War Crime Trials 

 

Conservatives:  Pushing for a small enough government to be a guest in your living room, or even better - your uterus.

 

outlawauron on 16 November 2009
jarrod said:
outlawauron said:
PhantomLink said:
ultima said:
PhantomLink said:
ultima said:
Those are crazy high numbers you guys are predicting for FFXIII.

So you're expecting more like 1.5-1.9 LTD?

I don't know, it just seems high... Has any other PS3 game even broken the million barrier in Japan yet?

Nop

Top selling ps3 games in japan

  1. MGS4 - 0.71m
  2. GT5 Prologue  - 0.57m
  3. Minna no Golf 5 - 0.51m
  4. RE5 - 0.50m

Yakuza 3 would fit in at #3. It's a little undertracked.

For the curious, Famitsu top 5 per console so far...

 

Wii

  1. Wii Fit (Nintendo) 3,536,288
  2. Wii Sports (Nintendo) 3,528,473
  3. Wii Play (Nintendo) 2,697,416
  4. Mario Kart Wii (Nintendo) 2,343,877
  5. Super Smash Bros. Brawl (Nintendo) 1,812,706

 

PlayStation 3

  1. Metal Gear Solid 4: Guns of the Patriots (Konami) 705,772
  2. Yakuza 3 (SEGA) 493,032
  3. Resident Evil 5 (Capcom) 475,799
  4. Hot Shots Golf: Out of Bounds (SCEI) 410,052
  5. Pro Evolution Soccer 2009 (Konami) 396,136

 

Xbox 360

  1. Star Ocean: The Last Hope (Square Enix) 208,521
  2. Blue Dragon (Microsoft) 203,740
  3. Tales of Vesperia (Namco) 202,592
  4. The Last Remnant (Square Enix) 154,493
  5. Resident Evil 5 (Capcom) 121,984

 

...and what the hell, handhelds too...

 

Nintendo DS

  1. Pokemon Diamond / Pearl (Pokemon Company) 5,709,235
  2. New Super Mario Bros. (Nintendo) 5,535,730
  3. Animal Crossing: Wild World (Nintendo) 5,073,967
  4. Brain-Age 2: More Training in Minutes a Day (Nintendo) 5,000,391
  5. Dragon Quest IX: Warriors of the Starry Sky (Square Enix) 4,014,000

 

PSP

  1. Monster Hunter Freedom Unite (Capcom) 2,453,132
  2. Monster Hunter Freedom 2 (Capcom) 1,723,187
  3. Monster Hunter Freedom Unite (BEST) (Capcom) 1,064,000
  4. Dissidia Final Fantasy (Square Enix) 890,115
  5. Crisis Core: Final Fantasy VII (Square Enix) 809,825

So, it seems MGS4 is undertracked with HSG overtracked. VGC combines the sales of the cheaper edition re-release whereas Famitsu does not.



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jarrod on 16 November 2009
outlawauron said:

VGC combines the sales of the cheaper edition re-release whereas Famitsu does not.

Yeah, Famitsu separates later budget releases and rereleases.  Otherwise Hot Shots would move to number 2 in the PS3 list and Ace Combat 6 would actually top the 360 list.



darthdevidem01 on 16 November 2009
Rei said:

FFXIII's pre-order numbers (if vgchartz is to be believed) are terrible compared to FFX (if wikipedia is to be believed)

   Low Famitsu estimate doesnt help either, Famitsu has been very accurate with their predictions lately.

actually they have been TERRIBLY off lately

with a few predictions being beaten in 1 week of the games release itself

 



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c0rd on 16 November 2009
darthdevidem01 said:
Rei said:

FFXIII's pre-order numbers (if vgchartz is to be believed) are terrible compared to FFX (if wikipedia is to be believed)

   Low Famitsu estimate doesnt help either, Famitsu has been very accurate with their predictions lately.

actually they have been TERRIBLY off lately

with a few predictions being beaten in 1 week of the games release itself

 

I think Samurai Warriors 3, Tales of Graces, and FFXIII each have a shot at getting close to the high end of Famitsu's lifetime predictions. It would be great if at least one of these games can outdo their max lifetime estimate.

I don't know much about SW3, but if their FFXIII and Tales predictions somehow turn out right... consoles are not looking good in Japan. JRPG's in particular.



Son1x on 16 November 2009

Going by Famitsu's predictions, ToG is pretty much a flop.
I mean a main title (and by no other then Team Destiny, their games tend to sell the most in Japan) selling the same as low-budget spin-off like ToS:DotNW sounds pretty bad.



"And yet, I've realized that maybe living a "decent" life means you won't ever have a "good" life."

 

kopstudent89 on 16 November 2009

^^ how much did they predict for ToG?



FinalEvangelion on 16 November 2009

If anyone has them, what are the latest famitsu predictions and also predictions for recent games?



"Naturally the common people don't want war: Neither in Russia, nor in England, nor for that matter in Germany. That is understood. But, after all, IT IS THE LEADERS of the country who determine the policy and it is always a simple matter to drag the people along, whether it is a democracy, or a fascist dictatorship, or a parliament, or a communist dictatorship. Voice or no voice, the people can always be brought to the bidding of the leaders. That is easy. All you have to do is TELL THEM THEY ARE BEING ATTACKED, and denounce the peacemakers for lack of patriotism and exposing the country to danger. IT WORKS THE SAME IN ANY COUNTRY."  --Hermann Goering, leading Nazi party member, at the Nuremberg War Crime Trials 

 

Conservatives:  Pushing for a small enough government to be a guest in your living room, or even better - your uterus.

 

Son1x on 16 November 2009

[WII] Tales of Graces (Bandai Namco Games) FS 120K-170K / TF 180K-230K

ToS:DotNW did 156k first week and crawled to ~220k.



"And yet, I've realized that maybe living a "decent" life means you won't ever have a "good" life."