Words Of Wisdom

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Words Of Wisdom on 12 November 2009

Think out loud time.

We have 10 players.

This means that the division is likely 7/8 pro-town vs 2/3 mafia.

Cults and Serial Killers shouldn't be appearing until the 12-16 player mark and are definitely not vanilla so we thankfully won't have those to worry about.

The most likely scenario is 7 pro-town vs 3 mafia. Odds are we have both a Doctor and a Cop.

With 3 mafia, we should have at least one other pro-town power role (such as Lie Detector) to equalize town power roles to mafia.

Townsfolk	Townsfolk	Cop
Townsfolk	Townsfolk	Doctor
---	---	Pro-Town
Mafia	Mafia	Mafia

The mafia will all be vanilla and there should be no other power roles to consider.

Since we start with 10, two deaths per night will...

Day	Players	Players (NL-D1)
1	10	10
2	8	9
3	6	7
4	4	5
5	2	3

The soonest the mafia or town can win will be Day 3 if we start lynching immediately or Day 4 if we do a No Lynch on Day 1. To keep the Mafia from winning as early as Day 3, we should No Lynch on Day 1. That will give the Cop one extra night's investigation.

Vote: No Lynch

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Dgc1808 on 12 November 2009

Son1x said:
I'm here and I'm pro-town

A likely story...

OT: I'm pro-town.

4 ≈ One

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Vetteman94 on 12 November 2009

Vote: No Lynch

No reason to lynch anyone just yet

makingmusic476

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makingmusic476 on 12 November 2009

I had some free time at school today, so I figured I'd stop by the library and see what's going on here. Nothing much, it seems.

I'll also...

Vote: No Lynch

...to help end the day.

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nen-suer on 12 November 2009

vote: axumblade

back to my hot-topics

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sabby_e17 on 12 November 2009

Vote: No Lynch

I like this small game.

makingmusic476

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makingmusic476 on 12 November 2009

nen-suer said:
vote: axumblade

back to my hot-topics

You shouldn't even be here. Now GTFO.

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Son1x on 12 November 2009

I guess Vote: No Lynch

"And yet, I've realized that maybe living a "decent" life means you won't ever have a "good" life."

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Soleron on 12 November 2009

I'm here.

I'm pro-Town.

I hate No Lynch on the first day, as ever (despite WoW's analysis). Since I am likely to be outvoted on that matter, I'm going to wait for something interesting or new to use my vote and it won't matter anyway.