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Forums - Sales - the "when will x over take y in sales" thread...

i m one of those i hate these threads people...



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Didn't want to include the PS3 Slim launch in the PS3 vs 360 sales then?



You ought to make articles out of these, Kowen. Everyone loves the Gap Charts and Sales & Marketshare Updates, even if they don't admit it.



(Former) Lead Moderator and (Eternal) VGC Detective

How bout stats on how long it will take x360 to catch up to wii?



Wait.

How did you get your PS3 > 360 numbers over the last month? I'm seeing closer to 400k, not 260k.



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I think PS3 will overtake 360 during holiday 2011.

This holiday I think the PS3 will manage 5 million and the 360 will manage 3.5 million so the gap should be between 4 - 4.3 million at the start of 2010. And then GT5 will move about 600k consoles in Others, 90k in Japan, 80k in NA. GOW3 will move about 100k consoles in NA. I'm also thinking that MAG might move some consoles in NA going by the pre-order charts. Also I believe that Modnation Racers will be a hit in Others and move a decent amount of consoles.

For next holiday, 360 + Price cut + Natal + Halo Reach will move alot of consoles. However I believe that if Agent, Resistance 3, The Last Guardian and some other games release for the holidays, that will eep the momentum going so I'm expecting next holiday to be somewhat the same both PS3 and 360. But at this time the 360 will have a lead of 2.2- 2.5 million.




Modnation Racers moving consoles? HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA.



wow... some people think this late in the generation people are still waiting to buy a PS3 for one game? I think by now anyone wanting a PS3 for those games would have already bought one for other games they also want. After all, people usually play more than just that one game.. so if they are desperately anticipating GT5 of FFXIII, they will probably already own the system. A 700k+ boost from one game? Never.



I think the possibility for Wii getting >50% marketshare and PS3 > 360 are about the same.
Do I think it's possible? Secret...:P



Interesting numbers.

I'll wait and see what happens with FF in Japan plus this holiday season in US/Europe before trying to figure how the trend winds are blowing.

What I will say is, on current trends the PS3 does have a shot of catching the 360, which I wouldn't have thought earlier this year, but of course much can happen yet either way.

I figure unless Nintendo manage a big jump in Wii vs HD twins it will never hit the target you use for your analysis, and I just don't see that happening. It will sell well though, and of course one a console per console basis it still easily leads WW week after week, but it's never going to have the distance between itself and the HD twins the PS2 enjoyed vs its nearest competitors.



Try to be reasonable... its easier than you think...