I think PS3 will overtake 360 during holiday 2011.
This holiday I think the PS3 will manage 5 million and the 360 will manage 3.5 million so the gap should be between 4 - 4.3 million at the start of 2010. And then GT5 will move about 600k consoles in Others, 90k in Japan, 80k in NA. GOW3 will move about 100k consoles in NA. I'm also thinking that MAG might move some consoles in NA going by the pre-order charts. Also I believe that Modnation Racers will be a hit in Others and move a decent amount of consoles.
For next holiday, 360 + Price cut + Natal + Halo Reach will move alot of consoles. However I believe that if Agent, Resistance 3, The Last Guardian and some other games release for the holidays, that will eep the momentum going so I'm expecting next holiday to be somewhat the same both PS3 and 360. But at this time the 360 will have a lead of 2.2- 2.5 million.
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