i doubt it. it will be within 1% of where it is now

For the OP to happen

Let HDS = Combined sales of Xbox 360 and PS3
Let NWS = Sales of Wii

HDS = 1.67*NWS + 24.14M

Ain't gonna happen.

Wii will maintain 48 percent market share.

Mike from Morgantown

Putting it another way in case you're not yet convinced.

The Wii would need to stop selling now and both Sony and Microsoft would need to match their entire full year predictions for sales in the three months between now and the end of the year, meaning sales of between about 650 000 and 850 000 units a week each.........and the Wii would have to stop selling.

Nintendo traditionally has a greater percentage increase during the holiday season than either Sony or Microsoft. In order for Wii to be down to 40% with sales stopping completely, non Nintendo platforms will have to make 54 million 40% of the total consoles sold, in other words 54/40*60 which equals 81 million PS3's and Xbox 360's total, or effectively increasing total userbase by 50% on what took them combined in 3 and 4 years respectively; and they would need to do it in the course of 3 months. Since it is unlikely that Nintendo will itself sell under 5 million this year, then you need to add another 7 million, for a total of 32 million.

Since the year has ~13 weeks left; that would mean 500K PS3's is FAR too low of a number to have sold, because Sony and Microsoft will need to sell a combined 2.4 million consoles per week from here on out.

Completely baseless argument and actually factually can be proved irrelevant. Going to leave it at hsrob's post because that pretty much ends this claim.

LOL thanks for the laugh...

Man some people are just getting WAY too excited about this PS3 price cut thing...

what a shame. toastboy got banned :\ he was doing so well lately too.

ot: If the wii's rumored price cut doesn't generate enough steam, then the possibility of 40% might become a reality

between the 360 and PS3 wii's martket share will go down to 45% at most.

I think you guys are being completely bias against the OP.

40% is easily doable if you get a free 42'' HDTV with every HD console purchase.

Joke post confirmed?

If Sony and MS gave away every single system they could possibly manufacture, including their entire holiday stockpile, it still would not be enough.