@ NJ5

It's the same thing as stated in the first quote, just worded differently:

"I anticipate around 10 million sales per year on average, until the release of a "PSThree", then I expect the PS3 to sell around 15 million on average"

Around 30 million at the end of fiscal year 2009, ~15 million a year makes roughly ~75-80 million at the end of fiscal year 2012. And of course Sony's 10 year plan for the PS3 was never a secret to begin with.

i just reported this guy, where are the mods?

@MikeB: You can easily see why people say you're too optimistic... you're predicting the PS3 to about equal PS2's sales, and to go near PS2's average of sales per year...

15 million per year at 299 aren't happening. Even Sony is expecting to ship 13 million by the end of March and their expectations are always  optimistic.

Even if we accept that the PS3 sells 15 million per year until 2012, MikeB goes further to say those sales will be maintained in the next 4 years...

MikeB do you really think the PS3 can maintain the same average until the end of its life? Don't you see how the very successful PS2 is selling before it even got to 10 years?

Sure he was right but you throw enough shit at a wall and some has to stick.

Good job man on those predictions.

They were rather spot on for last fiscal year. 13 million probably isn't too far off neither for this fiscal year. Also remember the slimline PS3 will not have been available for this whole fiscal year once it launches and there are signs Sony has plenty of aces stuck in their sleeves unfolding the years ahead.

It's just a prediction, it may be a little optimistic or it may be a little under-optimistic. Too many different factors involved to make an absolute statement (unlike for example being able to state with 99.9% certainty Blu-Ray would win the format war).

Good one

Nice stuff, Mike. They weren't the riskiest of predictions, but cool.