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Forums - Gaming - Realistic Expectations for the PS3 Slim/Price Cut

PS3 will outsell 100k+ in Sept if not more (the 360) and be real close to Wii.

Will most likely outsell the 360 this holiday season but trial the Wii.



It's just that simple.

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NeoRatt said:
A bit of perspective....

A 50% sales increase from last week's world wide numbers will only mean 116,890 consoles sold.

Compared to 360 with 106,000...

A 50% increase in sales is massive. Last year Microsoft saw a 39% increase after its price cut... A 40% change for Sony would only mean they barely beat 360's current sales.

A 300% increase in sales won't bring the PS3 up to the Wii...


Exactly. I'm sure the price cut will help but the question is how much? We'll just have to wait and see.



Bet between Slimbeast and Arius Dion about Wii sales 2009:


If the Wii sells less than 20 million in 2009 (as defined by VGC sales between week ending 3d Jan 2009 to week ending 4th Jan 2010) Slimebeast wins and get to control Arius Dion's sig for 1 month.

If the Wii sells more than 20 million in 2009 (as defined above) Arius Dion wins and gets to control Slimebeast's sig for 1 month.

are we talking worldwide or NA?



<a href="http://profiles.us.playstation.com/playstation/psn/visit/profiles/LiquidLynch13"><img src="http://fp.profiles.us.playstation.com/playstation/psn/pid/LiquidLynch13.png" width="230" height="155" border="0" /></a><br/><a href="http://www.us.playstation.com/PSN/SignUp">Get your Portable ID!</a>

Majin-Tenshinhan said:
Serious_frusting, I think you're being unrealistic. People don't seem to quite grasp how far ahead the 360 is.

I'm too tired to do calculations right now, but if I recall correctly (which I might not), I believe that the PS3 would have to outsell the 360 by 120k each week for 2 years to even catch up to it, much less pass it.

Either way, I'm sure the price cut and the slim will have a noticeable impact on sales. It won't pass the Wii or the 360 lifetime though, although it might pass the 360 temporarily.

It's not exactly hard math: 8M/52 ~ 154K. That's the amount it has to outsell the 360 on average every week to close the gap in 1 year.

As per your example (2 years) that would be 77K per week on average, or if you want a more realistic scenario sell a million more under holidays twice, outsell the 360 by about 60K on average during the rest of the year.

Quite unlikely numbers, but not as out of the world as those you said, especially if you spread them over 3 years.

All in all anyway none of this matters. There's no special prize that goes to the maker of the console that comes up ahead of a single unit or even a million. The 360 and PS3 are destined this gen to go towards substantially equal market shares. Their final combined weight against the Wii is still up in the air.



"All you need in life is ignorance and confidence; then success is sure." - Mark Twain

"..." - Gordon Freeman

PS3 will beat 360 or tie by the end of the month due to the official price drop.

Will outsell 360 in Oct( Uncharted 2)....tie in Nov(Modern Warfare), and outsell in Dec.

PS3 will beat 360 by only a 600 k margin for the year ( yess it's alot but consider the 9 million gap)

If sales are good and 360 somehow loses steam game wise ( which I doubt it looking at the 2010 lineup) PS3 will be 360 by the end of 2012.

Ps3 will not catch up to Wii....



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Who honestly thinks the PS3 is going to beat the Wii?



It's just that simple.

- 45% steady sales increase YoY (PS3 sales Sep-Dec 2009 compared to Sep-Dec 2008)
- 11.5-12 million PS3s sold in 2009
- Gap to X360 decreased down to 6.5 million at end of year 2009.

- The MS counter in Sept with $20/$50 price drop on X360 to $179 and $249 will not be enough, why PS3 closes the gap by end of 2011, leaving X360 in third place this generation.

This generation is hereby decided.

1. Wii
2. PS3
3. X360

You can quote me on this.



MonstaMack said:
Who honestly thinks the PS3 is going to beat the Wii?

I saw a dude downtown last weekend who might believe it but I didn't ask him cos' he was sleeping and had needles sticking out of his arm.



This generation is hereby decided.

1. Wii
2. PS3
3. X360

You can quote me on this.

So let me know when your selling me your 360 games based on your doom and gloom lol.



It's just that simple.

PS3 will beat the Wii

The Wii had a good run, but it's screwed now, unless they drop the price by a whole bunch