| Majin-Tenshinhan said: Serious_frusting, I think you're being unrealistic. People don't seem to quite grasp how far ahead the 360 is. I'm too tired to do calculations right now, but if I recall correctly (which I might not), I believe that the PS3 would have to outsell the 360 by 120k each week for 2 years to even catch up to it, much less pass it. Either way, I'm sure the price cut and the slim will have a noticeable impact on sales. It won't pass the Wii or the 360 lifetime though, although it might pass the 360 temporarily. |
It's not exactly hard math: 8M/52 ~ 154K. That's the amount it has to outsell the 360 on average every week to close the gap in 1 year.
As per your example (2 years) that would be 77K per week on average, or if you want a more realistic scenario sell a million more under holidays twice, outsell the 360 by about 60K on average during the rest of the year.
Quite unlikely numbers, but not as out of the world as those you said, especially if you spread them over 3 years.
All in all anyway none of this matters. There's no special prize that goes to the maker of the console that comes up ahead of a single unit or even a million. The 360 and PS3 are destined this gen to go towards substantially equal market shares. Their final combined weight against the Wii is still up in the air.
