Are ten year plans outdated?

 

It seems like SCEE president Andrew House thinks that way. He claims that the PS3 could last significantly longer than ten years. Well, it should. After all the 360 is apparently here to stay for ten years, according to Microsoft representatives, and its technology isn’t as advanced as the PS3’s.

House also believes that Wii owners will eventually upgrade to the PS3 once the price is right, because Sony’s own data suggests that this was also the case in previous generations when gamers switched from the Nintendo 64 to the PS2. That’s not too far fetched, because people in general want to buy a PS3, it’s just that it is still too expensive at the moment. So expect sales to skyrocket once Sony drops the price and introduces a PS3 Slim, possibly coinciding with the release of Gran Turismo 5.

Another positive aspect of the PS3 is that it happens to be a Blu-Ray player that also plays games. Sooner or later people will realize the tremendous value of Sony’s current generation console. Michael Pachter supports this notion and predicts that the PS3 will tie the 360 within the next two years and end up in second place by 2015, primarily due to Sony’s victory in the high definition DVD format war.

And who knows, maybe the PS3 even snatches first place in the long run due to its “significantly longer than ten years” lifecycle. The console war isn’t a sprint, it’s a marathon. With Wii owners upgrading to the more powerful PS3 which will have its own motion controller soon or the 360 with its Natal (although Microsoft calls this process “graduating”), Nintendo’s days of success might be numbered.

This is of course a very optimistic way to look at the future of the video game industry, but it’s still more realistic than the cocky predictions of Nintendo fanboys who want to see the PS3 finishing in fourth place this generation; behind the Wii, the 360 and the Wii Balance Board.

If PS3 and 360 both last for over 10 years I will be an extremely happy gamer. I personally hope we do not see any new consoles until at least 2015.

Hrmmm... this guy, again. It's interesting how he thinks the Wii Balance Board will outsell the PS3.

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Keep it comin!

So:

- N64 and PS2 were in the same generation

- people in general want to buy a PS3, but got a wii/Xbox360 because of the lower price.

- all people who now own a wii love driving games

- all people who now own a wii love a slim console

Wow, so except for the, in my opinion right, statement about the Blu-Ray-player, this article is a bunch of bs...

That's good news, as long as the next gen systems have backwards compatability then im fine.

Soooo, When 10 years knocks on the door and Sony decide to do 15 what is to stop the other inferior consoles from leapfrogging the console.

It is interesting the people still cling to the thought that everyone who bought another console actually only ever really wanted a playstation. Now if the console had been sold at the same price as the competition then I think we could of seen an element of this but it did not and no way could it. These consoles will always be significantly cheaper so this dilema will always remain.

The only reason the PS3 will catch the Wii is because the Wii was not longer being sold and the Wii HD would now be hard on the heels catching the PS3.

None of the consoles of this gen will live even close to ten years or more with any kind of worthwhile support. This gen will be cut short by quite a lot, I think.

How can ten year plans be outdated when no company has ever had the audacity to plan that far out with its console before? A small number of consoles have indeed made it that long, but this is not something that a console maker can rely on. Sony, it seems, is going to have to learn this the hard way.

Sony ain't catching up.