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Forums - Sales - Can the PS3 still win Japan over the Wii?

Xen on 11 May 2009
KBG29 said:
Here is my plan as to how Sony is going to change the face of this generation.

1. PS3 hits profit after the fall to 45nm Cell chip(tentitive September).
2. Sony markets the crap out of its new motion controller over the holidays. Shows that the PS3 has Movies, Games, Music, Internet, Home, TV, 3D, and more.
3. Sony drops the price to $299 after the 45nm RSX hits, with PS3 momentum at an all time high already, the price cut busts open the flood gates(tentative Febuary 2010).
4. Sony contiunes to profit, a slim PS3 is launched in Spetember of 2010 at a $249 price point.
5. September 2011 Sony makes the move to a unified Cell RSX chip, at 32nm, swittches to SSD's which are now cheaper to produce than HDD's, and drops the PS3 price to $149.

That = PS3>Wii in the end, in Japan at least.

Bonus factor - 3rd parties sell way better on PS3. Japan publishers will go PS3 exclusive on many titles making things even harder on Wii.

And back in the real world...

 



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haxxiy on 11 May 2009

No. On the very very best scenario for Sony it'll end like 12m for the Wii and 8m for the PS3.



 

 

 

 

 

novasonic on 11 May 2009

dont forget monster hunter 3. look what that did for the psp in japan. wii sales will exploooode




8th gen predictions. (made early 2014)
PS4: 60-65m
WiiU: 30-35m
X1: 30-35m
3DS: 80-85m
PSV: 15-20m

ctk495 on 11 May 2009

No the Wii still has MH3 and DQX.



BengaBenga on 11 May 2009

PS3 isn't even outperforming Wii right now by any significant amount. Year to date they're almost equal, despite major PS3 games releasing. The gap is 5 million.

Let's say we have 3 years left in this gen = ~150 weeks:

PS3 would have to outsell Wii by 20,000 units each weeks to get even in 3 years. I sure hope no-one actually sees that as a real possibility as PS3 will soon drop under 20k again. Wii isn't doing good either, but that's irrelevant for this discussion as it's the PS3 that has to outsell Wii.

Sure FFXIII and GT5 will sell loads, but so will MH3 and DQX. I'd say both are about even. Any other games are too small to really matter.



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Everpain on 11 May 2009

Hmm


Japan Wii sales - 8,040,459
Japan PS3 sales - 3,182,654

And PS3 outsold Wii by what last week? 500 units? At that rate it would take 192 YEARS to catch the Wii. So, I'm guessing the answer is no.



saicho on 11 May 2009
KBG29 said:
Here is my plan as to how Sony is going to change the face of this generation.

1. PS3 hits profit after the fall to 45nm Cell chip(tentitive September).
2. Sony markets the crap out of its new motion controller over the holidays. Shows that the PS3 has Movies, Games, Music, Internet, Home, TV, 3D, and more.
3. Sony drops the price to $299 after the 45nm RSX hits, with PS3 momentum at an all time high already, the price cut busts open the flood gates(tentative Febuary 2010).
4. Sony contiunes to profit, a slim PS3 is launched in Spetember of 2010 at a $249 price point.
5. September 2011 Sony makes the move to a unified Cell RSX chip, at 32nm, swittches to SSD's which are now cheaper to produce than HDD's, and drops the PS3 price to $149.

That = PS3>Wii in the end, in Japan at least.

Bonus factor - 3rd parties sell way better on PS3. Japan publishers will go PS3 exclusive on many titles making things even harder on Wii.

so based on all that, how do you foresee PS3 to close the almost 5 million gap with Wii in Japan? like it will outsell Wii by 1 mill in 2009, 2 million in 2010 and another 2 million in 2011?



MikeB predicts that the PS3 will sell about 140 million units by the end of 2016 and triple the amount of 360s in the long run.

Rath on 11 May 2009
KBG29 said:
Here is my plan as to how Sony is going to change the face of this generation.

1. PS3 hits profit after the fall to 45nm Cell chip(tentitive September).
2. Sony markets the crap out of its new motion controller over the holidays. Shows that the PS3 has Movies, Games, Music, Internet, Home, TV, 3D, and more.
3. Sony drops the price to $299 after the 45nm RSX hits, with PS3 momentum at an all time high already, the price cut busts open the flood gates(tentative Febuary 2010).
4. Sony contiunes to profit, a slim PS3 is launched in Spetember of 2010 at a $249 price point.
5. September 2011 Sony makes the move to a unified Cell RSX chip, at 32nm, swittches to SSD's which are now cheaper to produce than HDD's, and drops the PS3 price to $149.

That = PS3>Wii in the end, in Japan at least.

Bonus factor - 3rd parties sell way better on PS3. Japan publishers will go PS3 exclusive on many titles making things even harder on Wii.

So hows life in pink fluffy cloud dream land?

 



CrazzyMan on 11 May 2009

Not win, probably sell on PAIR. =)

Since, Wii is getting DQX and PS3 is getting FFXIII + FFXIIIv, both will have close market share in the end. =)

Though, of`course it`s possible, that Japan market is already saturated with Wii...
So, unless winning means even 1 mln. lead, then yes, it`s possible.)



Every 5 seconds on earth one child dies from hunger...

2009.04.30 - PS3 will OUTSELL x360 atleast by the middle of 2010. Japan+Europe > NA.


Gran Turismo 3 - 1,06 mln. in 3 weeks with around 4 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Gran Turismo 4 - 1,16 mln. with 18 mln. PS2 on the launch.

Final Fantasy X - around 2 mln. with 5 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Final Fantasy X-2 - 2.4 mln. with 12 mln. PS2 on the launch.

 

1.8 mln. PS3 today(2008.01.17) in Japan. Now(2009.04.30) 3.16 mln. PS3 were sold in Japan.
PS3 will reach 4 mln. in Japan by the end of 2009 with average weekly sales 25k.

PS3 may reach 5 mln. in Japan by the end of 2009 with average weekly sales 50k.
PS2 2001 vs PS3 2008 sales numbers =) + New games released in Japan by 2009 that passed 100k so far

Millennium on 11 May 2009

Not at current rates. I expect to see it back where it belongs -second place- in another week or two, but even if that doesn't happen, its week-over-week lead isn't big enough: it would take decades to catch up.



Complexity is not depth. Machismo is not maturity. Obsession is not dedication. Tedium is not challenge. Support gaming: support the Wii.

Be the ultimate ninja! Play Billy Vs. SNAKEMAN today! Poisson Village welcomes new players.

What do I hate about modern gaming? I hate tedium replacing challenge, complexity replacing depth, and domination replacing entertainment. I hate the outsourcing of mechanics to physics textbooks, art direction to photocopiers, and story to cheap Hollywood screenwriters. I hate the confusion of obsession with dedication, style with substance, new with gimmicky, old with obsolete, new with evolutionary, and old with time-tested.
There is much to hate about modern gaming. That is why I support the Wii.