Can the PS3 still win Japan over the Wii?

[saicho]

KBG29 said:
Here is my plan as to how Sony is going to change the face of this generation.

1. PS3 hits profit after the fall to 45nm Cell chip(tentitive September).
2. Sony markets the crap out of its new motion controller over the holidays. Shows that the PS3 has Movies, Games, Music, Internet, Home, TV, 3D, and more.
3. Sony drops the price to $299 after the 45nm RSX hits, with PS3 momentum at an all time high already, the price cut busts open the flood gates(tentative Febuary 2010).
4. Sony contiunes to profit, a slim PS3 is launched in Spetember of 2010 at a $249 price point.
5. September 2011 Sony makes the move to a unified Cell RSX chip, at 32nm, swittches to SSD's which are now cheaper to produce than HDD's, and drops the PS3 price to $149.

That = PS3>Wii in the end, in Japan at least.

Bonus factor - 3rd parties sell way better on PS3. Japan publishers will go PS3 exclusive on many titles making things even harder on Wii.

so based on all that, how do you foresee PS3 to close the almost 5 million gap with Wii in Japan? like it will outsell Wii by 1 mill in 2009, 2 million in 2010 and another 2 million in 2011?