For fart's sake. It is still up to what software Nintendo announces for Fall/Holiday. Projecting sales to be flat/go down doesn't mean a lot.

Nintendo took a massive wallop from exchange rates, and they totally blew it last holiday with Animal Crossing and Wii Music... But overall their sales and profits still went up from the previous year. Now things are (still) up to their ability to deliver exciting new software experiences this year.

I always found puzzling that the wii has been selling like crazy for 2+ years and just for a couple of months of NOT THAT LOW sales and suddenly "the trend is going downwards"? what about america and europe? does that sales doesn't count anymore?

Really that's pathetic.

I find it strange that people are talking about estimates and forecasts negatively when it's the analesys that have always been off every year since the Wii and DS launched.

First the analyses under values while Nintendo remained conservative, now the analyses are over estimating and getting on Nintendo case for being conservative?

And you guys are talking that you should be valuing the analyzers? Nintendo will always be cautious and do what they to do to make their business run as much as possible. That's the only thing analyses just be concerned with.

US and European sales have been falling as well. The Wii marketshare has been falling everywhere.

No they don't

http://www.vgchartz.com/hwcomps.php?cons1=Wii&reg1=America&cons2=PS3&reg2=America&cons3=X360&reg3=America&start=39572&end=39936&weekly=1

http://www.vgchartz.com/hwcomps.php?cons1=Wii&reg1=Europe&cons2=PS3&reg2=Europe&cons3=X360&reg3=Europe&start=39572&end=39936&weekly=1

Look at the past 4-5 weeks.

They still outseel the other consoles!

You do realise that Super Smash Bros Brawl and Mario Kart Wii launched in that 4-5 week time frame last year, don't you?

When you factor that out, you also need to understand that Spring is the slowest sales period of the year.

Follow that up with many huge games for the rest of the year in contrast with very few last year and I cannot fathom how anyone can predict fewer sales this year than last year or that this 4-5 week trend is somehow permanent.

 Show me one shred of evidence that backs up your statement. As for Ninty estimates, seems more like the analysts getting a little carried away with their estimates than Ninty generally having an issue with sales.

Are you serious? NO! You can not be. Just look at what the JRPGs have done for the sales of the Xbox 360 in Japan. When that console first released no one thought that it would have a chance to sell a million units. Now with the help of software that actually interest the Japanese gamers the sales have increased. This is the same for the PSP and the PS3.

The PS3 did not beat the Wii because people just went out and started buying PS3s. Major software that interested gamers are what helped the PS3 to sale.

The bottom line is that you want the Wii to fail and this colors your view of sales figures of the Wii in Japan. This is why you state that major releases will not help the Wii but as I've shown, they helped all the other consoles.