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Forums - Sales - Wii market share the road to 60% or are we there yet?

RPG on 04 May 2009

No not going to happen unless the Wii carries on well after the PS3 and 360 are discontinued. It is struggling to hit 50% and in this case it is basically PS3 + 360 vs Wii. Any big PS3 or 360 release would cause a spike in sales let alone the PS3 getting a price cut.

This generation is nothing like last gen where one console murdered the competition, I think the PS3 is already pretty close to outselling the xbox which I think was second place.



 

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Galaki on 04 May 2009
The Ghost of RubangB said:
If you align the launches of all 3 systems, Wii is already over 50%, so the only thing slowing the Wii down a bit is the 360's year long head start. Wii is over 50% every week and every month, and it's still speeding up while the PS3 is starting to slow down.

 

I don't think people can understand you without pictures and graphs. Preferrably, picture of bikini girl on the side of the graph.



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mjdans on 04 May 2009

@Zlejedi

If it's your opinion that the Wii is over price no one can take that away from you keep in mind demand is what keeps the price of the wii high. It is only good business to keep price stable at this time having said that not so good if you're waiting for a price drop all prices to some extent are supply and demand.



NJ5 on 04 May 2009

@KBG29:

note: I have met people that can hardly afford to eat, but they are buying Gameboys for their kids, or a new cheap TV from Walmart. If people want or need something they will find the money, and Wii is already there.


If you need to resort to anecdotal evidence to prove a point, it's pretty likely that your conclusion is too hasty.

 



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Galaki on 04 May 2009
NJ5 said:

@KBG29:

note: I have met people that can hardly afford to eat, but they are buying Gameboys for their kids, or a new cheap TV from Walmart. If people want or need something they will find the money, and Wii is already there.


If you need to resort to anecdotal evidence to prove a point, it's pretty likely that your conclusion is too hasty.

 

Some people do it. Therefore, everyone is doing it :)



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Avinash_Tyagi on 04 May 2009

Soon this thread will give me bingo



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

mjdans on 04 May 2009

@Avinash-Tyagi

How so and what letter or letters are you missing



greenmedic88 on 04 May 2009
Kasz216 said:
greenmedic88 said:
Actually with consoles like the PS3, expect the audience to continue to broaden as it sells more units at cheaper price points, much like the PS2 did.

As much as I hate to say it, when reduced budget games become more common place (development costs drop), and the hardware prices become more mass market friendly, is when real market expansion takes place for any console that's managed to stay competitively in the game.

I don't want to use the Xbox as a model for the future of the 360 as the 360 has already succeeded where the Xbox failed in terms of library and hardware sales, but MS is clearly trying to expand markets as well from both a broader market appeal from both a software variety angle (broad appeal/"casual" games) and mass market friendly hardware prices.

There's no reason to believe either console will remain with the core and "semi-core" demographics. Barring any early exits/replacements, the trend will only move in the opposite direction towards broader market appeal.

Why should we expect it to broaden as it gets cheaper?  Why shouldn't we expect it to end up like the gamecube, dreamcast, Neo-Geo etc?

It's doing better then those systems... but the PS3 has a lot more in common with the losers of generations then it does the winners.

Because the games will still be there in addition to an increasing number of budget games as the cost to develop continues to drop, as the cost of the hardware itself continues to open up to mass market prices.

What I absolutely do not see happening despite the success of the Wii, is leading edge games being developed for the Wii rather than for the PC/360/PS3.

The PS3 and 360 have already passed the point of being the Neo Geo (extremely pricey hardware, and extremely pricey games making it strictly a small niche product) and the Dreamcast (abandoned by Sega after two years) and the GC (kept alive almost entirely by strong Nintendo 1st party games).

If you really think SCE will just bow out of the hardware business a year ago (Dreamcast) or even a year from now, or that they'll end up replacing it by year four (Xbox), you're entitled to your opinion by all means; crazier predictions have been made on here.

 



One_touch_KO on 04 May 2009

New colors, price cut and you got your 60% marketshare.

I also don't believe the console can go more further than that.



Ail on 04 May 2009

Bookmarking to come back to this next year so I can have a good laugh the crowd that believes the 60%..



PS3-Xbox360 gap : 1.5 millions and going up in PS3 favor !

PS3-Wii gap : 20 millions and going down !