that's great work too, and it's normal to have the exceptions, after all there isn't a proved model that suits every game (and naturally there will never exist one). it's a generic estimative and people should not dismiss it or outright question the validity, nor take it as the truth for every game.

actually, if such a model existed we wouldn't be seeing EA and co. trying to figure out how the Wii works, but at the same time we still see a lot of fuss about GTA:CW and other games and the number of minigame compilations that came out after Carnival Games

Indeed, but the sw numbers in here, especially from Eu/Others, have proven to be quite a bit off in the past and can't be taken as solid or very credible. This is mainly due to the difficulty of sw tracking in Europe and parts of others and is not really Bret's fault. Ultimately, we must expect large margings of error from many regions of the world as far as software tracking is concerned until a good, reliable tracking system is available. I have myself, fruitlessly, tried to gather ltd software (and hardware) sales here in Norway as best as I could for a couple of years in hopes of adding something to the site and its accuracy. The only thing I can get a hold of are revenue charts from publishers and retail (except Microsoft, they don't give out official numbers here for some reason).

The NA and Japan tracking of software seems to be quite accurate on Vgchartz but the large discrepancies due to the tricky EU/Others region(s) will skew the ww ltd totals a great deal at times and makes calculations complicated and somewhat unreliable.

the post has shown what a lot on this site already thought that ps360 games are more front loaded than the wii this is a very fine peice of work even though there are many viariables this has enough grounding to show this

while some numbers may be unreliable eg; eu/others this goes for ps360 as well as wii therefore still leaving a reasonable result

Yes, of course it does! If anything, the tracking of Wii Sports is the simplest here since it is bundled with every Wii! It applies equally to all platforms, except PC where its even worse since you have a growing market for digital versions being sold online.

1. Wii play should be included
2. LBP was heavily bundled for a time and so were some other games, i expect.

@ puffy: You put a lot of work into the OP - good job.

It is nice to put some objective numbers behind what we already knew subjectively. Good work.

To everybody that enjoyed the work I did thank you very much and i'm glad I could provide some solid evidence for everybody who knew this already... Also taking out those other 4 games Oyv.. WOW lol that's an impressively low number.. That means an 85,922 opening could get you 1 Million if you are a third party title :P actually it means that on average it does. And of course I don't mind anybody who wants to use these numbers, they're here for everybody to use :) SO USE THEM!

I'm very busy over the next 2 weeks but after that I might come back to this thread and have a think about what else these numbers might mean..

Not surprising really. Its good to see something more concrete though to help prove what everyone already knew.