heruamon said:
Jeronimo66 said:
I feel the 360 will have its biggest year in 2010 the only reason I believe that is because the next Xbox should be out fall 2011, 360 will most likely not have a bigger year in 2011 due to the hype surrounding the new machine and sales may start to slow down even if they keep manufacturing Xbox 360 and even if the xbox 360 Arcade is $99.
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I think 2011 for a new xbox console would be extremely aggressive, imho. The 360 is performing well and M$ probably will want to support a dual console approach, while ensuring full B/C. Their goal will probably be to ease developers from one console to the new one, and I think 2012 might be the best year. M$ is going to want to emulate the PC improvements, since you NEVER hear about developers whining about the cost to make better game for PCs, also by that time, all components of the current 360 box will be dirt cheap, and it will be able to fully supplement the cost of rolling out next xbox. I’m thinking 500GB HDD (or maybe even 250 GB SSD) and some slots for flash memory. I think M$ keeps the upconverting dvd and try to push flash memory as a means to deliver bigger games…it saves on power and cost of game packaging for one, even if the medium itself is slightly more to cost out…on the volume scale we are talking about though, it might be cost effective.
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Blizzard just came out by accident saying Microsoft is already talking to them about the next xbox and that was last month, March, the first real news of xbox 360 came out at the beginning of 2004 a year and a half later the system launched, it was rushed but the system launched, meaning 2006 would have been a better time to launch the 360 as that would have lead to a better made console and the whole 33% failure rate would never have happened.
Now If you look at the timeline of the 360 rushed that would mean the next xbox will launch fall 2010, If you look at the timeline if the 360 wasn't rushed that brings us to fall 2011.
I don't know when the next xbox will launch but going of all the information I have read on the next xbox, fall 2011 looks like the time.
I believe microsoft was going to launch fall 2010 because that would be the typical 5 year life span for consoles, but because of the success of the 360 microsoft is going to extend it another year, fall 2011, and I remember microsoft saying they will stop production of 360 in 2012 that means 360 would have been in production for 7 years, a big difference from the 4 year life cycle of the origional xbox.
Another reason I believe the next xbox will launch fall 2011 is because microsoft wants to keep up with PC game releases, In 2010 I think the 360 will begin to fall behind in keeping up with the latest PC technology another reason why 2011 is the prime date, so if a game that cannot be done on 360 comes out on PC it will come out a year later as a launch title for the next xbox, and as mainly a console gamer I wouldn't mind waiting a year for the one or two PC games I want, I just don't see the next xbox launching in 2012 based off the information I have heard and looking at the life cycles of previous console generations.
