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Forums - Sales Discussion - Super Mario Galaxy week one sales in Japan (it launches Nov 1, 2007)

makingmusic476 on 07 September 2007

~800k, but it will be sold out everywhere. It will continually to sell extremely well for quite some time afterwards.



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smalvct on 07 September 2007

I do not think that 500k - 600k is very conservative....

this number is already too huge to be true..
At most 500k copies first week is much much much better than expected....



--OkeyDokey-- on 07 September 2007

i say 800k for galaxy
i wonder what smash bros will do in weeek 1? 1 milllion+ wouldn't be out of the question



routsounmanman on 07 September 2007

~1.000.000 copies. This game rocks and the Japanese know it.



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albionus on 07 September 2007
shams said:
Gut feeling says 700-750k. I think NSMB did similar numbers - but had great legs - 2m sold in the first month.

I think Galaxy will reach 1.7m-2.5m by the end of the year. Anything less will be a disappointment (ala Sunshine figures).

Given shams Bioshock/MP3 calls I'm going to go with him on this one.  Also I happen to agree with low 700k's.



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tabsina on 07 September 2007

725k



nine0nine on 07 September 2007

as many as Nintnedo ships, i guess at 1m. Japans wii market isnt really as 'new' as the wii market they are defining in the west, plus i think many of the new gamers will have an interest in a mario title.
If the Wii has sold 4M by novemnber, atleast 1 in 4 will pick up the game.



kuraobi on 07 September 2007

The DS hardware was around 8M when NSMB was released. NSMB did 900k first week.
But i think SMG is much better than NSMB, plus it's released in november. So i think it can sell almost the same first week.

So i'd say 900k-1M first week.

Moreover, I'm pretty sure SMG will sell A LOT in december. It will have sales a la ACWW 2005.



WiteoutKing on 07 September 2007

I'm going to board the crazy train on this one...

Over 1 million units sold, week one.



PS3: 5.51m/51w, avg 108,039/w (up 239)
360: 12.93m/102w, avg 126,764/w (up 625), leads PS3 by 7.42m (up 70k), avg lead 18,725/w (up 386)
Wii: 13.52m/51w, avg 265,098/w (dn 1,102), leads PS3 by 8.01m (up 90k), avg lead 157,059/w (dn 1,341)

If 360 sales stabilize, PS3 sales increases needed to pass 360 by...
01/08: (008w) +875.8%, 04/08: (021w) +344.4%, 07/08: (034w) +219.3%, 10/08: (047w) +163.5%
01/09: (060w) +131.8%, 04/09: (073w) +111.4%, 07/09: (085w) +098.1%, 10/09: (099w) +086.7%
If Wii sales stabilize, PS3 sales increases needed to pass Wii by...
01/08: (008w) +1072.%, 04/08: (021w) +498.4%, 07/08: (034w) +363.4%, 10/08: (047w) +303.1%
01/09: (060w) +269.0%, 04/09: (073w) +246.9%, 07/09: (085w) +232.6%, 10/09: (099w) +220.3%
If PS2 sales freeze, Wii sales increases needed to pass PS2 (as of Mar07, 108.4m) by...
2008: (008w) +4373.8%, 2009: (060w) +0496.5%, 2010: (112w) +0219.6%, 2011: (165w) +0116.9%
2012: (217w) +0064.9%, 2013: (269w) +0033.1%, 2014: (321w) +0011.5%, 2015: (376w) -0004.8%
At +0% it will pass it in 358w, the week ending September 19th, 2014, at an age of 409w (7y44w).
Current age of PS2: 7y37w.

Last update: Week ending November 3, 2007

Astrodust on 07 September 2007

I predict it will sell outo of its initial shipment whatever that will be. I know some guys looking for Metroid here in Edmonton and they can't find it.