Will be down YoY by a "small" margin at the end of 2009. I mean, Wii is already down in every region. In Japan things have to take a drastic turn and maybe with MH3 that happens, which comes out 1st August. In the US and Others a bump won't happen until WSR comes out, which is last week of July. So with 5 months left and being down YoY by 1.5 million, it will be difficult for the Wii to top its 2008 performance.
Remember that last year Wii was supply constrained and that most of the shipments were sold during the same week they were made. There was a huge demand and that's why sales were so huge. June 2008 saw sales of 666k units according to NPD, and so far it looks like it will be down from May 2009.
I agree we should wait and see, but so far Wii is down YoY, we shouldnt forget that.
Proud poster of the 10000th reply at the Official Smash Bros Update Thread.
tag - "I wouldn't trust gamespot, even if it was a live comparison."
Bets with Conegamer:
Pandora's Tower will have an opening week of less than 37k in Japan. (Won!)
Pandora's Tower will sell less than 100k lifetime in Japan.
Stakes: 1 week of avatar control for each one.