scottie said:
There're a lot of threads floating around at the moment asking question like
Time to lower the price of the Wii in Japan?
http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?id=63156&page=2
Yakuza 3/Killzone 2 the beginning of Sony's global reign.
http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?id=62985
Well I am starting this thread too talk about why I believe the Wii will do very well in Japan in upcoming months.
Obviously, the sales for the week ending the 8th will be very PS360 heavy due to RE:5, I'm refering to weeks after this.
Looking through the Japanese releases, and only considering games that will appeal to the Japanese, ignoring games that wont have much impact and ignoring the portables
March 9th - End of March
Wii - Wiimake of Pikmin 2 60k +/- First week
Wii - Sonic and the Black Knight Less than 10k first week
Wii - Phantom Brave (RPG, port of a PS2 game) 25 - 30k first week?
Ps3's biggest game is probably Musou Orochi Z, which I imagine will sell very few units 100k+ first week
360's only release is Quantum of Solace 1k first week?
Add Suzumiya Haruhi for the Wii
April
Heavy competition with the PC game Brett :P
PS3 has Killzone - but I doubt that will sell much in Japan Also has the FFVII:ACC + FFXIII Demo Bundle will sellout
Wii has Monster Hunter port Really don't know what to expect, but could sell decent due to MH3 Demo
Wii has Muramasa Odin Sphere was a niche game
Add Deca Sports 2 for the Wii
May
Wii has Kizuna Could go either way, but after the sales of Rune Factory Frontier and Fragile I have to wonder. This seems better though
Wii has PES soccer (winning eleven) which is huge, but it's a late port Sales will be minimum, too late since the next PES is around the corner
360 has Mass Effect and a baseball game Dinasty Warrior 5 Empires
PS3 has no release scheduled Dinasty Warriors 5 Empires is a big game (DW5 sold more than 400k in Japan on the PS3)
June
Only scheduled release is Arc Rise Fantasia for the Wii Could go either way, but will definitely sell more than 100k
July
Metal gear Online for the PS3 1k LTD? Add King of Fighters XII and BlazBlue to both PS3 and 360
No Wii or 360 releases yet
Rest of Year
No releases announced (with a specific date)
And then Nintendo is also releasing Sin and Punishment, Punch Out, Endless Ocean 2, Wii Sports Resort, Metroid Prime 2 Wiimake and a few others. You chose the wrong ones. Wii has WSR, DQX, Tales of Ten, Vallalha Knights, Little Kings Story, Samurai Warriors 3, MH3, FFCC:TCB... though they aren't coming anytime soon. (MH3 is coming before October, but what does the Wii have until then?)
PS3 has GT5, FFXIII, FFvsXIII, The Last Remnant, God of War 3, Tekken 6, Dead Rising 2, Bayonetta
If anyone still believes that the Wii will have a bad year in 2009, give some reasoning for it. No one says the Wii will have a bad year. Just bad in comparison to the previous 2 years, since for the first half it will be selling really bad in comparison. 2nd half may be different, but with Nintendo not announcing anything big besides WSR and with most of the third party big games not out this year, it's reasonable to expect decreasing sales and people getting worried. Nintendo doesn't seem to care in JAPAN. It's nowhere else, though it could be happening.
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