By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Sales - Nintendo Share Slide Shows Wii May Lose Ground to PS3, Xbox

Lingyis on 30 August 2007
stof said:
While the article really isn't that good. What I take away from it is this. Nintendo has done so phenomonally well lately, and their stocks have skyrocketed so incredibly high, that that sort of stock prices just can't be kept up. Doesn't mean the company is in trouble financially or sales wise. Just means some things can't keep so high.

 this logic... doesn't work.  just like when i thought google was expensive at $100, then $200, then $300, then $400...

 or apple... or starbucks... or blackberry... and so on, and so on.

 in theory, the history of a stock price has no bearing whatsoever on its future performance.  theory of course is far from reality, but truth is probably somewhere in between.

 



the Wii is an epidemic.

Around the Network
FishyJoe on 30 August 2007

I guess it boils down to risk tolerance. Mine is very high since I'm not that old and I don't have a family.

At this point, I'm not sure what to invest in. In another half a year, I think it will be one of the best buying opportunities for real estate in a long time. I'm probably going to hold some cash to buy a house.

Hopefully Nintendo shares will be through the roof by then, I can sell and buy the house of my dreams!



outlawauron on 30 August 2007
DonWii said:
Zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz

They just re-iterate everything that has been said about Nintendo and their products since 2004. If you didn't listen to them back then, there is no reason to listen to them now.

Rockband... Really?
Pay $280-500 for your console, plus $200 for the full Rockband experience?
That is definitely going to move systems...
I hardly think it will sell to the existing base.

MS sure is going to move systems with a board game...

Now, onto the DS-Wii comparison.
People didn't get bored of the DS. Compelling Software kept coming. Still hasn't stopped selling. Thats basically it.

I guess it will take 2 years to make people believe in the Wii. Then again, there are people who still doubt the DS...

Rock band was annouced for PS2 as well ......

"We'll toss the dice however they fall,
And snuggle the girls be they short or tall,
Then follow young Mat whenever he calls,
To dance with Jak o' the Shadows."

Check out MyAnimeList and my Game Collection. Owner of the 5 millionth post.

Lingyis on 30 August 2007
kn said:
FishyJoe said:


Not really, I used this logic with Apple and got burned BADLY. Nintendo has an enormous earnings growth rate, so you can't just look at the PE alone and draw a conclusion. A 25 PE is really quite low if you factor in growth.

True that, but... I personally don't believe that Nintendo will continue to grow like they did over the last year. In order to sustain this type of growth momentum, they will esentially have to double the number of Wiis they sell on a monthly basis worldwide starting in November. I'm sure they will get some growth from economies of scale alone and not having to reduce their price right away, but when things settle down to a normal sales pattern as I think they will after the holidays, I don't believe they can maintain their current growth. Keep in mind that current growth is just downright astounding and it's tough to keep that going no matter how good you are... I've not really looked at the stock carefully enough to provide a truly informed analysis but personally, and I don't care what stock, if I was up 200%, I'd be selling off some shares -- at a MINIMUM back to my original total dollars entry point. Yep, I also left an enormous amount of money on the table with Apple.

Since we are now on stocks, which do you like? My current stock porfolio consists of:

Intel, Cisco, Schlumberger, General Mills, GE, Citigroup, Bank of America, Idearc(Verizon Spinoff), Verizon, Prudential, and Wyndham Resorts. I'm well into LT on all of them at this point.

 

it's about how much return you're expecting.  nobody expects nintendo to go up another 200% anytime soon; but if you think it'll go up another 50% in a year, and you don't think you can get 50% return anywhere else, you're better off staying put (risk aversion aside).  to sell would be to rebalance (reduce risk), as you mentioned.



the Wii is an epidemic.

Lingyis on 30 August 2007
FishyJoe said:
I guess it boils down to risk tolerance. Mine is very high since I'm not that old and I don't have a family.

At this point, I'm not sure what to invest in. In another half a year, I think it will be one of the best buying opportunities for real estate in a long time. I'm probably going to hold some cash to buy a house.

Hopefully Nintendo shares will be through the roof by then, I can sell and buy the house of my dreams!

 good luck to you!  i'm hoping to buy a house about a year down the road myself. 



the Wii is an epidemic.

Around the Network
stof on 30 August 2007
Lingyis said:
stof said:
While the article really isn't that good. What I take away from it is this. Nintendo has done so phenomonally well lately, and their stocks have skyrocketed so incredibly high, that that sort of stock prices just can't be kept up. Doesn't mean the company is in trouble financially or sales wise. Just means some things can't keep so high.

 this logic... doesn't work.  just like when i thought google was expensive at $100, then $200, then $300, then $400...

 or apple... or starbucks... or blackberry... and so on, and so on.

 in theory, the history of a stock price has no bearing whatsoever on its future performance.  theory of course is far from reality, but truth is probably somewhere in between.

 


 I didn't say it made sense. That's just what I took away from the article. Sort of a "stocks may drop just because they're high, and not because of any inherent reason. 



I'm a mod, come to me if there's mod'n to do. 

Chrizum is the best thing to happen to the internet, Period.

Serves me right for challenging his sales predictions!

Bet with dsisister44: Red Steel 2 will sell 1 million within it's first 365 days of sales.

elprincipe on 30 August 2007
FishyJoe said:
I guess it boils down to risk tolerance. Mine is very high since I'm not that old and I don't have a family.

At this point, I'm not sure what to invest in. In another half a year, I think it will be one of the best buying opportunities for real estate in a long time. I'm probably going to hold some cash to buy a house.

Hopefully Nintendo shares will be through the roof by then, I can sell and buy the house of my dreams!

I'm actually looking at houses right now, although I'm not relying on Nintendo shares to finance them.  But obviously it would be nice if they performed as we hope.  Good luck to you on the real estate...around here (Washington DC area) even with prices failing to increase over the last year they are still totally insane.



In Memoriam RVW Jr.

SSBB Friend Code = 5455-9050-8670 (PM me if you add so I can add you!) 

Tetris Party Friend Code = 116129046416 (ditto)

Avinash_Tyagi on 30 August 2007

I hope there is a slide, then I can swoop in and buy a tone of Ninty stock on the cheap, because these analysts don't know what they're talking about



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)