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Forums - Nintendo - Wii will never top the 50%! Let's discuss it!

I like Bacon on 04 February 2009
Metallicube said:
Tremble said:
- Economic crisis: yes, once again, THE crisis! Will probably hit more the wii than the other two.

I don't follow your logic on this one.. Why would the economic crisis hit Wii hardest when it is the cheapest? I think if anything, the economic crisis will only work in the Wii's favor.

Metallicube is correct! Wii sales haven't really been affected. PS3 sales have IMO.

 



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TWRoO on 04 February 2009
Lurker said:
The HD consoles are fighting it good. PS2 was already over 50% at this point last gen.

If you hadn't noticed... the PS2 started at 100% (ignoring Dreamcast)

 



llewdebkram on 04 February 2009
Khuutra said:
Tremble said:
- High popular games coming to HD console: RE5, SFIV, KZ2, Infamous, Halo wars, FFXIII demo and yakuza, just to name a few. No wii game could match that.

- PS3 will increase its sales in japan: 2008's been a low year for the PS3, 2009 should be much better. Yakuza 3, FFXIII and GT5 will sell tons of consoles.

- Price: wii has always been afordable, a price cut wouldn't have a big impact. The PS3 and the 360 Elite, on the other hand, could get a big boost if there were a price cut, those consoles/sku are still expensive.

- No zelda, mario or metroid this year: last year wiifit, SSMB and MK gave the console a huge boost. There's still no zelda/mario/metroid game announced for this year.

- Economic crisis: yes, once again, THE crisis! Will probably hit more the wii than the other two.

My prediction: Wii will never reach the 50% mark, could even be below 40% by the end of this year.

I'm not going to address the rest of your post, since it's an adaptation of old arguments about why Sony will win the war, but I am very, very willing to make a bet with you concerning this point.

 

Some intelligent person here must have a breakdown of what needs to happen sales wise for Wii to go below 40% this year?



WiiStation360 on 04 February 2009
llewdebkram said:
Khuutra said:
Tremble said:
- High popular games coming to HD console: RE5, SFIV, KZ2, Infamous, Halo wars, FFXIII demo and yakuza, just to name a few. No wii game could match that.

- PS3 will increase its sales in japan: 2008's been a low year for the PS3, 2009 should be much better. Yakuza 3, FFXIII and GT5 will sell tons of consoles.

- Price: wii has always been afordable, a price cut wouldn't have a big impact. The PS3 and the 360 Elite, on the other hand, could get a big boost if there were a price cut, those consoles/sku are still expensive.

- No zelda, mario or metroid this year: last year wiifit, SSMB and MK gave the console a huge boost. There's still no zelda/mario/metroid game announced for this year.

- Economic crisis: yes, once again, THE crisis! Will probably hit more the wii than the other two.

My prediction: Wii will never reach the 50% mark, could even be below 40% by the end of this year.

I'm not going to address the rest of your post, since it's an adaptation of old arguments about why Sony will win the war, but I am very, very willing to make a bet with you concerning this point.

 

Some intelligent person here must have a breakdown of what needs to happen sales wise for Wii to go below 40% this year?

Check my post on the previous page.

Basically this scenario would get below 40% Wii this year:  PS3 & 360 both increase 2008 sales by 50% and Wii sales drop by 70% over 2008.  (7.5M Wii, 17.2M 360, 15.8M PS3)  This would give you 39% Wii market share.

Another 39% Wii scenario would be for PS3 and 360 to equal sales from 2008, and the Wii sells ZERO consoles in 2009.  That would also give you 39% wii market share at the end of 2009.

 

 



Thatmax on 04 February 2009

I'm gonna go out on a limb here and say it wont hit 50 till xmas next year.



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frybread on 04 February 2009

Good one tremble! Post more man I'm enjoying this



PC + Wii owners unite.  Our last-gen dying platforms have access to nearly every 90+ rated game this gen.  Building a PC that visually outperforms PS360 is cheap and easy.    Oct 7th 2010 predictions (made Dec 17th '08)
PC: 10^9
Wii: 10^8

Serious_frusting on 04 February 2009

it never will.



Nobody's perfect. I aint nobody!!!

Killzone 2. its not a fps. it a FIRST PERSON WAR SIMULATOR!!!! ..The true PLAYSTATION 3 launch date and market dominations is SEP 1st

Khuutra on 04 February 2009
Serious_frusting said:
it never will.

How do you figure?



Arius Dion on 04 February 2009

@Khuutra: he's going off of hope. If I close my eyes it won't happen.



Bet between Slimbeast and Arius Dion about Wii sales 2009:


If the Wii sells less than 20 million in 2009 (as defined by VGC sales between week ending 3d Jan 2009 to week ending 4th Jan 2010) Slimebeast wins and get to control Arius Dion's sig for 1 month.

If the Wii sells more than 20 million in 2009 (as defined above) Arius Dion wins and gets to control Slimebeast's sig for 1 month.

frybread on 04 February 2009

I want to join in!

Wii will never sell another console. Ever.

FACTS:

- Casual gamers.
- Recession.
- Hardcore titles
- Third party sales.



PC + Wii owners unite.  Our last-gen dying platforms have access to nearly every 90+ rated game this gen.  Building a PC that visually outperforms PS360 is cheap and easy.    Oct 7th 2010 predictions (made Dec 17th '08)
PC: 10^9
Wii: 10^8