llewdebkram said:
Khuutra said:
Tremble said:
- High popular games coming to HD console: RE5, SFIV, KZ2, Infamous, Halo wars, FFXIII demo and yakuza, just to name a few. No wii game could match that.
- PS3 will increase its sales in japan: 2008's been a low year for the PS3, 2009 should be much better. Yakuza 3, FFXIII and GT5 will sell tons of consoles.
- Price: wii has always been afordable, a price cut wouldn't have a big impact. The PS3 and the 360 Elite, on the other hand, could get a big boost if there were a price cut, those consoles/sku are still expensive.
- No zelda, mario or metroid this year: last year wiifit, SSMB and MK gave the console a huge boost. There's still no zelda/mario/metroid game announced for this year.
- Economic crisis: yes, once again, THE crisis! Will probably hit more the wii than the other two.
My prediction: Wii will never reach the 50% mark, could even be below 40% by the end of this year. |
I'm not going to address the rest of your post, since it's an adaptation of old arguments about why Sony will win the war, but I am very, very willing to make a bet with you concerning this point.
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Some intelligent person here must have a breakdown of what needs to happen sales wise for Wii to go below 40% this year?
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Check my post on the previous page.
Basically this scenario would get below 40% Wii this year: PS3 & 360 both increase 2008 sales by 50% and Wii sales drop by 70% over 2008. (7.5M Wii, 17.2M 360, 15.8M PS3) This would give you 39% Wii market share.
Another 39% Wii scenario would be for PS3 and 360 to equal sales from 2008, and the Wii sells ZERO consoles in 2009. That would also give you 39% wii market share at the end of 2009.
