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Forums - Sales - Wii to go below 10k a week in Japan!!!!!!

outlawauron on 11 February 2009
TheSource said:

Wii has been averaging about a 5-10% drop per week. But late March and April should be great for all machines in Japan as the FFXIII demo, Golden Week, Monster Hunter Wii, and DQIX all drive sales.

There are a few minor games at the end of February through late March to Monster Hunter in May though that should keep Wii above 15k most, if not all the time.

You think Monster Hunter 3 will release in the first half of this year?



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samus aran rules on 12 February 2009
outlawauron said:
TheSource said:

Wii has been averaging about a 5-10% drop per week. But late March and April should be great for all machines in Japan as the FFXIII demo, Golden Week, Monster Hunter Wii, and DQIX all drive sales.

There are a few minor games at the end of February through late March to Monster Hunter in May though that should keep Wii above 15k most, if not all the time.

You think Monster Hunter 3 will release in the first half of this year?

 

 I think he was talking about Monster Hunter G with a Monster Hunter 3 demo which is being released at the end of April, this one should move some hardware.



Ail on 12 February 2009

I think it can actually happen during the slow September/October months depending on what software is released around that period...

Those months typically have hardware sales that are half to 1/3rd of what they are in January/February



PS3-Xbox360 gap : 1.5 millions and going up in PS3 favor !

PS3-Wii gap : 20 millions and going down !

mrstickball on 12 February 2009

You are correct, Ali. That's why there's a good chance that, based off past history, the Wii may dip right at, or below 10k in September or October this year...If the trends don't change. Unless Nintendo does something to change the trending with a lot of new titles, and reasons for people to buy the system, it's headed for dire straits (so is the PS3, based on past history too).

Here's some 2008 info:

Japan Monthly for Wii:

Month 2007 2008 2009
Jan 434,467 564,298 257,702
Feb 292,833 291,127
Mar 301,513 213,614
Apr 279,376 186,448
May 329,873 275,519
Jun 274,019 185,956
Jul 337,100 212,894
Aug 291,200 150,906
Sept 112,763 115,194
Oct 102,868 123,296

Given the fact that 09 has started out poorly for the Wii, and February looks to be below 150,000...It's not setting a very good precident for sales. The big question is what can the Wii theoretically bottom out at. In Sept-Oct in both years, it saw very similar sales - despite the rest of 07 performing 30-40% better on most given months. This is an important question for 2009: Is the Wii's lowest sales going to be 100,000/mo this year, or will it dip lower?

Given monthly averages (Feb-Aug) vs. Sept-Oct, you'd think that the average for the rest of the year may see the Wii drop by 50% in Sept-Oct vs. the rest of the averages. If this is the case, then we may see the Wii tip below the 6 digit line, and even as low as 50-60k/mo in Sept-Oct. If this does happen, then that puts it just above 10k for an average for every week. And being that close to 10k may put it at or below 10k for a week or two.

Man, Star Ocean 4 week is gonna be interesting. The 360 may beat the Wii for another week.



Back from the dead, I'm afraid.

haxxiy on 12 February 2009

Firstly Wii was outselling PS3 by 6:1. Sometime after it went to 4:1. And now is more like 2:3. Intersting trend.



 

 

 

 

 

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Rhonin the wizard on 12 February 2009
haxxiy said:
Firstly Wii was outselling PS3 by 6:1. Sometime after it went to 4:1. And now is more like 2:3. Intersting trend.

The Wii is still outselling the PS3.



Naum on 12 February 2009

If Wii goes below 10k in a week I dread what PS3 or the 360 will sell, 1-3k?



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whorenraged on 12 February 2009

If the wii go below 10k, ps3 stops selling and 360 will have negative sales :|



mrstickball on 12 February 2009

No. The PS3 and X360 don't have the insane YOY drops that the Wii is having. You can't argue that what's happening to the Wii is happening to the X360, as the 360 is up YOY by very strong margins.



Back from the dead, I'm afraid.

Rhonin the wizard on 12 February 2009
mrstickball said:
No. The PS3 and X360 don't have the insane YOY drops that the Wii is having. You can't argue that what's happening to the Wii is happening to the X360, as the 360 is up YOY by very strong margins.

The Xbox360 isn't doing that bad, but it wasn't doing very good to begin with.

The PS3 is doing worse compared to last year, maybe not as worse as the Wii, but still it's not selling as much.