Actually, 25-30 million might be a tad on the low side. 

By the end of 09, we're looking at 23-24M of sales (even the pessimists have to accept 21M, optimists might say 25M)

Is there even any chance that MKWii won't sell 3M more after that? No. It might not exceed 33M or anything, but 27-32M might be a better prediction.

So far, the title that has sold the most titles that aren't bundled is Pokemon Red/Blue. The non-bundled number is somewhere between 25 and 27M I believe.

There's no way that Mario Kart Wii is going to stop at 20 million. I'd actually be surprised if it's LTD will be below 30 million. That game is selling at such insane levels it's not even funny. Time will tell, but I think we may well have a champion that's going to be really hard to beat here...

wow that was fast!

ok, I personally think MKWii will sell about 25mil LTD... now, think about MKWii selling 25 mil at 50 bucks... then imagine WiiFit... omg, I think 35million is possible... at 90 FREAKEN BUCKS

How can you say 25M?

How much do you believe MKWii will sell in 09, Bigjon?

I dont know, I guess I just feel... well over board to say any higher.... I mean to predict 30 mil is asking alot for a game... Only Non bundled game to sell that much was Pokemon R/B/G.... and that had 3 skus...

I think it will sell 6 million this year... btw. But then again I am assuming that a new game will become the must have for casuals..... maybe not. If it does 10 million this year (possible, it did 14 mil last year in 7 months or so)

I guess the 25 mil will depend on this year really, if it does what I think and does, maybe 6-7 mil, that puts it at 20-21 mil, I mean selling 5 mil or so after the first 20 months would be incredible in itself... That is where the 25 mil comes from, but that is a "conservative" number admittingly

For mario kart wii LTD I'd say 25 million. Insane!

Mario Kart Wii is one of the first titles almost anyone would buy when picking up a Wii. I know only one person among all my gamer and non-gamer friends who doesn't enjoy Mario Kart Wii (aside from some video game skeptics who refuse to play any games even on the Wii...).

I'm thinking 45 million lifetime.

(for those who think my expectations are too high, I also believe the Wii will be the most successful console ever, have the longest lifespan and be highly successful in emerging(geographical) markets)

I think people are doubting the sales of 25-30+ mil, simply because the numbers are too damn ridiculous. People can't really wrap their heads around it, regardless of whether the math agrees or not. I mean, I can sorta understand, it's hard to get used to these numbers...

@vonboy: There's a slim chance a certain title can break it, if we combine multiplats. MKWii will have to really slow down in order for it to happen, though, while this game will have sell tons. Pretty unlikely, but not impossible. The sequel to this:

2008:

Totalled to 6.52mil in 2008. If the next game can do about this much again, it'll at least be close, I think.

I'm saying 9M for this reason.

150K*6 months = 3.9M

125K*4 months = 2.2M

 Nov + Dec = 3M (4.5M in 08)

= 9.1M

It could go as high as

200K * 6 months = 5.2M

150K * 4 months = 2.6M

3.5M Nov + Dec (opposed to 4.5M in 08)

= 11.3M

But I doubt the latter will happen.

My prediction would be (but it's a long way off)

08 - 14M

09 - 23M (9M)

10 - 29M (6M)

11 - 33M (4M)

12 - 35M (2M)