Who will come away with the most market share between all their next gen products this winter. It will pretty obviously be either Sony or Nintendo, but which one will take the crown. Right now Nintendo has the slight advantage in US and EU with a huge lead in Japan. Their is a good chance however that Sony could still beat them out. My predictions per region:
Japan | % | USA | % | EU | % |
DS | 27 | DS | 20 | DS | 21.9 |
Wii | 26 | PSP | 18 | PSP | 18.4 |
PSP | 22.5 | PS3 | 16.8 | PS3 | 17.5 |
PS3 | 15 | Wii | 15.8 | Wii | 16.9 |
PS2 | 8 | PS2 | 15 | PS2 | 15.7 |
360 | 1.5 | 360 | 14.4 | 360 | 9.6 |
Japan | USA | Europe | |
Sony | 45.5 | 49.8 | 51.6 |
Nintendo | 53 | 35.8 | 38.8 |
Microsoft | 1.5 | 14.4 | 9.6 |
Breakdown:
DS-I think their is no way any system beats the DS. Nintendo can produce as many as they need and their is no doubt it can sell a lot of units.
PSP-With the PSP redisign and it being the time of the year were slightly high price products do better I see the PSP performing well this year.
PS3-I feel that the PS3 will outsell the Wii this winter. It will not be due to deman, but due to Nintendo not being able to produce enoghf Wiis. And we all know Sony has to many PS3's sitting around right now so stock it not an issue for them. I think the PS3 will sell better than the 360 due to name brand, wider spectrum of games, and big pushes in Japan and Europe. It is just more of a mass market product than the 360.
Wii-As mentioned above, I think Wii demand will be huge this winter (I mean you got to be an idiot to think not), however, I think they will have supply issues. If it does not end up with this issue I see it just behind the PSP still, but somewhat significantl ahead of PS3.
PS2-With a good chance of a price drop in late October I think the PS2 has one last good run in it. It should come very close to either the Wii or PS3 whichever is in third. IMO this will be the most interesting console to watch this winter.
360-Sadly I just don't see much hope for the 360 in the end. Halo will be big, and it will sell a few consoles, but I feel it will not be enoghf. PGR4 will not make a great impact, and I think Mass Effect will be to late. Bioshock is the best looking game for the 360 right now, but I don't think the masses will notice it tell it gets big pushes from the industry. To me the 360 just dosn't look like it will be that attractive to the major part of the market, it is to focused on the gangster teenage kids to be noticed as well by the 25 to 45 year old market which has the money to buy a system.
Stop hate, let others live the life they were given. Everyone has their problems, and no one should have to feel ashamed for the way they were born. Be proud of who you are, encourage others to be proud of themselves. Learn, research, absorb everything around you. Nothing is meaningless, a purpose is placed on everything no matter how you perceive it. Discover how to love, and share that love with everything that you encounter. Help make existence a beautiful thing.
Kevyn B Grams
10/03/2010
KBG29 on PSN&XBL