bigjon on 31 December 2008
| Platinum Hopefuls | Sales | ||||||||||
| Sure Fire (90-100% Chance) | Last Week (in Ks) | LTD (in mils) | |||||||||
| 1 | Ben10: PoE | 52k | 0.99 | ||||||||
| 2 | Naruto: CotNR | 12k | 0.98 | ||||||||
| 3 | Star Wars:TFU | 72k | 0.96 | ||||||||
| 4 | Big Beach Sports | 61k | 0.93 | ||||||||
| 5 | Cooking Mama: Cook Off | 11k | 0.92 | ||||||||
| 6 | House of Dead 2 and 3 | 40k | 0.88 | ||||||||
| 7 | DDR: Hottest Party | 36k | 0.85 | No others data | |||||||
| 8 | Endless Ocean | 36k | 0.81 | ||||||||
| 9 | Hana Montana: WST | 55k | 0.77 | ||||||||
| 10 | RRR: TV Party | 200k | 0.75 | ||||||||
| 11 | Mario Super Sluggers | 50k | 0.7 | ||||||||
| 12 | Super Monkey Ball: BB | 13k | 0.66 | Missing others data | |||||||
| 13 | Shaun White | 145k | 0.58 | ||||||||
| 14 | Lego Batman | 53k | 0.58 | ||||||||
| 15 | Deblob | 86k | 0.58 | ||||||||
| 16 | HSM: 3 | 125k | 0.53 | ||||||||
| 17 | Sonic: Unleased | 157k | 0.52 | ||||||||
| 18 | MySims: Kingdom | 90k | 0.47 | ||||||||
| 19 | Active Life: Outdoor Chal | 67k | 0.65 | Seperated Data (I combined) | |||||||
| 20 | Game Party 2 | 62k | 0.34 | ||||||||
| 21 | Disney Sign It | 68k | 0.31 | ||||||||
| 22 | Guiness World Records | 140k | 0.55 | ||||||||
| 23 | Namco Museum Remix | 42k | 0.55 | no others data | |||||||
| 24 | COD: WaW | 74k | 0.35 | ||||||||
| 25 | Rockband 2 | 62k | 0.06 | ||||||||
| 26 | Ben10: Alien F | 60k | 0.24 | ||||||||
| Good Shot (50-90%) | Last Week (in Ks) | LTD (in mils) | |||||||||
| 1 | Madden 2008 | 20k | 0.9 | ||||||||
| 2 | FiFa 08 | 15k | 0.85 | ||||||||
| 3 | Sega Super Stars Ten | 22k | 0.78 | ||||||||
| 4 | Dragon Quest Swords | 13k | 0.77 | nothing from others | |||||||
| 5 | Tiger 08 | 16k | 0.77 | ||||||||
| 6 | Boom Blox | 28k | 0.67 | ||||||||
| 7 | Sonic Riders | 24k | 0.67 | ||||||||
| 8 | Excite Truck | 2.3k | 0.64 | missing others data | |||||||
| 9 | Tiger 09 | 58k | 0.63 | ||||||||
| 10 | Walle | 57k | 0.59 | ||||||||
| 11 | Madden 2009 | 56k | 0.56 | ||||||||
| 12 | Sports Party | 26k | 0.45 | Only others data | |||||||
| 13 | Wario Land: Shake It | 32k | 0.43 | ||||||||
| 14 | NerfNStrike | 86k | 0.34 | ||||||||
| 15 | Monopoly | 66k | 0.32 | ||||||||
| 16 | Star Wars: Lightsaber Duels | 66k | 0.29 | ||||||||
| 17 | DDR: HP 2 | 44k | 0.24 | ||||||||
| 18 | All Cheer Squad | 47k | 0.24 | ||||||||
| 19 | Carival Games MiniG | 70k | 0.32 | ||||||||
| 20 | FE: Radient Dawn | 7k | 0.58 | no others data | |||||||
| Longshots (less than 50%) | |||||||||||
| 1 | Dancing With Stars: We Dance | Could have some reach long legs, we'll see | |||||||||
| 2 | GH AreoSmith |
Only at about 600k, I don’t see this having great legs.. But well see |
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| 3 | Quaton of Solace | starting out well, I expect CoD:WaW to eat this games sales | |||||||||
| 4 | COD3 (600k, no other data) | May very well be at 1 mil, not selling anymore, but mant it did 400k in others | |||||||||
| 5 | Dragon Ballz BK3 | Data is weird on this one, says 780k, but has a pic of my horse and me… | |||||||||
| 6 | Hasbro Family Game night | good start, we'll see if it holds up over the holidays | |||||||||
| 7 | Boogie | only at 550k or so the New Once seems to have taken its shelf space | |||||||||
| 8 | FiFa 09 | really slow start, seems to be picking up…. 50/50 on this one | |||||||||
| 9 | Boogie Superstar | off to a much better start than the first. I think it can do it, but still too far to call | |||||||||
| 10 | Jillian Micheals Fitness :U | Fitness and Wii… why wouldn't it have a chance | |||||||||
| 11 | Sambe De Amigo | If its legs last 1st Quarter it has a shot | |||||||||
| Double Platinum Hopefuls | (this will just be list W/ comments) | All of these are likely imo | |||||||||
| 1 | Lego: SW | really close, it will make it within the month | |||||||||
| 2 | Mario Strikers | same as above, only has 150k to go, and marios sports sell forever | |||||||||
| 3 | Wiimusic | 2 million and beyond | |||||||||
| 4 | GH: WT | same as above 2 million will be just a bump in the road | |||||||||
| 5 | RE4:Wii | this will be close, at 19.99 it should sell, I also seeing the RE5 hype bleeding over to this | |||||||||
| 6 | AC: CF | For certain, the question is this week or next week | |||||||||
| 7 | Game Party | just keeps on selling… the only thing that can stop it is 2, and even that is failing | |||||||||
| 8 | Deca Sporta | has a ways to go, but I have been calling 2 mil all along, and I think it will make it | |||||||||
| 9 | Sonic Unleased | It will follow in the footsteps of SSR, Sonic just sells well on the Wii | |||||||||
| 10 | RRR: TV Party | RRR2 sold 1.5 mil and it start much slowers. Should have little trouble making 2 mil | |||||||||
| 11 | COD: WaW | yes, of course the confrontational one…. I am willing to bet the house on this making 2 mil, | |||||||||
| it seems to be catching on bigtime | |||||||||||
| Triple Platinum Hopefuls | |||||||||||
| 1 | Carnivore Games | It Will Make 3 mil, we shall see if its final resting ground is between 3-4 million (I hope) | |||||||||
| 2 | Super Paper Mario | Its Mario and it only has 360k to go, it can do it, and it has all the time in the world | |||||||||
| 3 | Link Cbow Training | No Doupt, it is bundles, it will coast on up to 3 mil, and then move past it over time | |||||||||
| 4 | WiiMusic | Again no doupt, it won't be in the 3s too long, it should keep on moving | |||||||||
| 5 | AC: CF | I see this game selling at least 5 million, so this is a given | |||||||||
| 6 | GH: WT | 3 mil should not be too hard, 4 million is the real question???? | |||||||||
| going any further (4 plat, 5 plat, etc) becomes redundent, I stated which games could go through the roof. |
all I can say is with the new releases, and all of these games climbing, the Wii's plat list will be busy next year : ).
End of 2009 Predictions (Set, January 1st 2009)
Wii- 72 million 3rd Year Peak, better slate of releases
360- 37 million Should trend down slightly after 3rd year peak
PS3- 29 million Sales should pick up next year, 3rd year peak and price cut
