The Ultimate Wii Platinum (1-3) Analysis Thread

[bigjon]

	Platinum Hopefuls		Sales
	Sure Fire (90-100% Chance)	Last Week (in Ks)	LTD (in mils)
1	Ben10: PoE		52k	0.99
2	Naruto: CotNR		12k	0.98
3	Star Wars:TFU		72k	0.96
4	Big Beach Sports		61k	0.93
5	Cooking Mama: Cook Off	11k	0.92
6	House of Dead 2 and 3	40k	0.88
7	DDR: Hottest Party		36k	0.85	No others data
8	Endless Ocean		36k	0.81
9	Hana Montana: WST		55k	0.77
10	RRR: TV Party		200k	0.75
11	Mario Super Sluggers	50k	0.7
12	Super Monkey Ball: BB	13k	0.66	Missing others data
13	Shaun White		145k	0.58
14	Lego Batman		53k	0.58
15	Deblob			86k	0.58
16	HSM: 3			125k	0.53
17	Sonic: Unleased		157k	0.52
18	MySims: Kingdom		90k	0.47
19	Active Life: Outdoor Chal	67k	0.65	Seperated Data (I combined)
20	Game Party 2		62k	0.34
21	Disney Sign It		68k	0.31
22	Guiness World Records	140k	0.55
23	Namco Museum Remix	42k	0.55	no others data
24	COD: WaW		74k	0.35
25	Rockband 2		62k	0.06
26	Ben10: Alien F		60k	0.24
	Good Shot (50-90%)		Last Week (in Ks)	LTD (in mils)
1	Madden 2008		20k	0.9
2	FiFa 08			15k	0.85
3	Sega Super Stars Ten	22k	0.78
4	Dragon Quest Swords	13k	0.77	nothing from others
5	Tiger 08			16k	0.77
6	Boom Blox		28k	0.67
7	Sonic Riders		24k	0.67
8	Excite Truck		2.3k	0.64	missing others data
9	Tiger 09			58k	0.63
10	Walle			57k	0.59
11	Madden 2009		56k	0.56
12	Sports Party		26k	0.45	Only others data
13	Wario Land: Shake It	32k	0.43
14	NerfNStrike		86k	0.34
15	Monopoly		66k	0.32
16	Star Wars: Lightsaber Duels	66k	0.29
17	DDR: HP 2		44k	0.24
18	All Cheer Squad		47k	0.24
19	Carival Games MiniG	70k	0.32
20	FE: Radient Dawn		7k	0.58	no others data
	Longshots (less than 50%)
1	Dancing With Stars: We Dance	Could have some reach long legs, we'll see
2	GH AreoSmith		Only at about 600k, I don’t see this having great legs.. But well see
3	Quaton of Solace		starting out well, I expect CoD:WaW to eat this games sales
4	COD3 (600k, no other data)	May very well be at 1 mil, not selling anymore, but mant it did 400k in others
5	Dragon Ballz BK3		Data is weird on this one, says 780k, but has a pic of my horse and me…
6	Hasbro Family Game night	good start, we'll see if it holds up over the holidays
7	Boogie			only at 550k or so the New Once seems to have taken its shelf space
8	FiFa 09			really slow start, seems to be picking up…. 50/50 on this one
9	Boogie Superstar		off to a much better start than the first. I think it can do it, but still too far to call
10	Jillian Micheals Fitness :U	Fitness and Wii… why wouldn't it have a chance
11	Sambe De Amigo		If its legs last 1st Quarter it has a shot
	Double Platinum Hopefuls	(this will just be list W/ comments)		All of these are likely imo
1	Lego: SW			really close, it will make it within the month
2	Mario Strikers		same as above, only has 150k to go, and marios sports sell forever
3	Wiimusic			2 million and beyond
4	GH: WT			same as above 2 million will be just a bump in the road
5	RE4:Wii			this will be close, at 19.99 it should sell, I also seeing the RE5 hype bleeding over to this
6	AC: CF			For certain, the question is this week or next week
7	Game Party		just keeps on selling… the only thing that can stop it is 2, and even that is failing
8	Deca Sporta		has a ways to go, but I have been calling 2 mil all along, and I think it will make it
9	Sonic Unleased		It will follow in the footsteps of SSR, Sonic just sells well on the Wii
10	RRR: TV Party		RRR2 sold 1.5 mil and it start much slowers. Should have little trouble making 2 mil
11	COD: WaW		yes, of course the confrontational one…. I am willing to bet the house on this making 2 mil,
				it seems to be catching on bigtime
	Triple Platinum Hopefuls
1	Carnivore Games		It Will Make 3 mil, we shall see if its final resting ground is between 3-4 million (I hope)
2	Super Paper Mario		Its Mario and it only has 360k to go, it can do it, and it has all the time in the world
3	Link Cbow Training		No Doupt, it is bundles, it will coast on up to 3 mil, and then move past it over time
4	WiiMusic			Again no doupt, it won't be in the 3s too long, it should keep on moving
5	AC: CF			I see this game selling at least 5 million, so this is a given
6	GH: WT			3 mil should not be too hard, 4 million is the real question????
	going any further (4 plat, 5 plat, etc) becomes redundent, I stated which games could go through the roof.

 

all I can say is with the new releases, and all of these games climbing, the Wii's plat list will be busy next year : ).