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Forums - Sales - Will PS3 eventually pass 360?

FilaBrasileiro said:
rager1969 said:
dacobra786 said:
feel free to add cause i like to know what i missed :)

Apparently, you missed some English and/or composition classes. But if U R 2 kewl to use proper spelling and grammar, at least use the Enter key once in a while to put some white space into a long post.

That said, I can understand why you may not be aware of what's coming out for the Xbox 360 in 2008 because Microsoft's E3 announcements concentrated on this holiday season. These are some of the games I am aware of:

Alan Wake

Fable 2

Splinter Cell: Conviction

Halo Wars

Too Human

 

 

 I doubt Too Human will be out in 2009. 

 


buddy am not here to get grammer check and apparently u took too much grammer enough so that rather than reading my comments u decided to say how badlly written it was WAAAOOOOO ur smart anywayzz BACK TO THE POINT............out of the list of  5games you listed 2 are mutilplatform<i listed all exclusives> and one Splinter cell is dated for this year other than that ur right fabel and halo wars...........hmmmmm but i dont think they are killer app........again u might diagree thass fine but i dont think that new gammers who are gonna decide what system they want will be based on those 2 games...........but whatever and my point was that there isnt alot of future games that we know of for 360 ......leading to the point that it does not have a chance against the future ps3 line up and so it will be passed by ps3 by the end of 08...............just so u know for the record i am a 360 owner and ps3 so freankly i dont care what happens but these are the fact.....and i think u partially even agree that there arent any revealed...........well my friend big company use that tactic when they reallly dont know what future hold............anywazz enough said...............i come in peace i go in peace lol..............later "smarter guy"



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TheBigFatJ said:

Um... Why would a console that's been out over a year and still at the same price as release, do better now than when it's brand new?

Your logic is severely flawed. Look at the DS in the US -- it had a $20 price drop in late 2005. The DS sold at a much faster rate in the US in 2007 than in 2006, despite getting no price drop in that time frame. This is because the game library is getting stronger and stronger and stronger. Hell, for the first half of 2006, the DS sold about 40-50K units/week in North America. It's selling well over twice that now, exactly zero price drops later.

The 360's problem and alarming sales drop-off isn't due to price. It is due to a stagnant library, negative PR and strong competition. As the PS3 gains steam, I believe the 360 will lose steam. And as much as Microsoft wants to deny it, it is in direct competition with the Wii.

Did you guys see the recent statistics? 40% of PS3 owners are aware that it can play Blu Ray discs. 30% of gamers know the 360 can do HD graphics (most likely, a subset of that know what HD graphics are). This suggests that, regardless of what MS says, it is in direct competition with the Wii. To most people, they're both game consoles and that's it. So as the Wii gains momentum, it can also affect the 360.

A console is only as valuable as the games you can play on it plus the features. The features don't change, but the game library gets better and better and better. Look at the PS2 now -- it has more games than it did at any point in the past. To someone who hasn't yet played a PS2, it is more valuable as a gaming device than it has ever been in the past.


DS lite was released in June 2006 right around the time sales started really picking up in America. A hardware revision that fixed pretty much every problem people had with the original boosted sales? Dang, an outside factor that had nothing to do with my point ruins it? Besides, one of the most popular opinions is how handheld trends =/= home console trends. Before the PSP was released all the fanboys were cheering how Sony was going to wipe the floor with Nintendo to the point of them leaving the hardware business completely considering the PS/2 dominance. Otherwise I could point out how much a hardware revision that fixes previous problems will boost the 360 considering what it did for the DS (and the PS3 80gb is not at all in the same vain).
And I'm confused on that third paragraph. Sony is the company that refuses to see the Wii as its competitor of the PS3. Gates had actually acknowledged Nintendo as their toughest competitor back in January.



To cash in my CC rewards points for $300 in Circuit City gift cards to purchase a 360 or not: That is the question.

LOL LOL LOL.... do people realize what they are saying when they say PS3 can catch up in 2008....????????? a effing 5th grader could do the math and prove it's not possible..... it's not happening except if a hurican destroys all WII and XB factory in the world and the only one left is sony.....
and about killer apps on PS3 next year I agree with MGS 4, GT, and FF (is it coming 2008 or 2009???) but that's it... I don't see any games on MS (RIGHT NOW) matching the fame of those one... but I see more than a 12 able to score 80%+ and contened with those title as a whole... you have alan wake, too huma, halo project, halo war, SPCC, fable 2, GOW2, dead rising 2, condemned 2, maybe a lost planet 2, DOA 5, ninja gaiden 2, other unknown project and title I'm not thinking about (and stop saying they are multi PC/360 I don't call that multi, it's still not on PS3)

So yes I'm saying it right here, right now the gap between PS3 Christmas line up and 360 in term of appeal to the public (not arguing the quality) is bigger in favor of the 360 than the gap you have RIGHT NOW in favore of the PS3 for the 2008 line up...

and why right now in caps is because you have to put that in your head that MS has more cards up their sleeves about 2008 line up than sony has left..... and no they didn't chose to not communicate because they have nothing... well at the end believe what you want..... me I always try to analyze it with the most factual elements... and the facts are not in favor of PS3 right now.... and certainly not uberly in favor to them in 2008 and probably will be less and less with 2008 getting closer....

so if PS come back on MS it won't be before mid or end 2010 and if they do it's because they did really well this christmas.... and have a really perfect over the top 2008, 2009 year..... and I don't see any of that happening especially not combine..... it's not with 3++ game even best of the world (yet to prove I don't have any interest in those 3 games and I do like jrpg and racing games) that you can close a gap like that with also cool games (even if they don't match them) on the other side and in quantity by then....

so yeah 2010 if it ever happens..... to give you a taste of my conviction, I think 360 has more chance of being 1st in 2010 than PS3 being second..... and i'm sure 360 won't be 1st so imagine how sure I am that PS3 won't be second at the end of 2008



endimion said:
LOL LOL LOL.... do people realize what they are saying when they say PS3 can catch up in 2008....????????? a effing 5th grader could do the math and prove it's not possible..... it's not happening except if a hurican destroys all WII and XB factory in the world and the only one left is sony.....
and about killer apps on PS3 next year I agree with MGS 4, GT, and FF (is it coming 2008 or 2009???) but that's it... I don't see any games on MS (RIGHT NOW) matching the fame of those one... but I see more than a 12 able to score 80%+ and contened with those title as a whole... you have alan wake, too huma, halo project, halo war, SPCC, fable 2, GOW2, dead rising 2, condemned 2, maybe a lost planet 2, DOA 5, ninja gaiden 2, other unknown project and title I'm not thinking about (and stop saying they are multi PC/360 I don't call that multi, it's still not on PS3)

So yes I'm saying it right here, right now the gap between PS3 Christmas line up and 360 in term of appeal to the public (not arguing the quality) is bigger in favor of the 360 than the gap you have RIGHT NOW in favore of the PS3 for the 2008 line up...

and why right now in caps is because you have to put that in your head that MS has more cards up their sleeves about 2008 line up than sony has left..... and no they didn't chose to not communicate because they have nothing... well at the end believe what you want..... me I always try to analyze it with the most factual elements... and the facts are not in favor of PS3 right now.... and certainly not uberly in favor to them in 2008 and probably will be less and less with 2008 getting closer....

so if PS come back on MS it won't be before mid or end 2010 and if they do it's because they did really well this christmas.... and have a really perfect over the top 2008, 2009 year..... and I don't see any of that happening especially not combine..... it's not with 3++ game even best of the world (yet to prove I don't have any interest in those 3 games and I do like jrpg and racing games) that you can close a gap like that with also cool games (even if they don't match them) on the other side and in quantity by then....

so yeah 2010 if it ever happens..... to give you a taste of my conviction, I think 360 has more chance of being 1st in 2010 than PS3 being second..... and i'm sure 360 won't be 1st so imagine how sure I am that PS3 won't be second at the end of 2008

Heh you forgot cry on, and infinite discovery. I think ps3 has a more promising 2008 year (if ff comes out) so far, but i really really dont think they will catch up in 2008, 2009 earliest possible.

I think you went a little tough on ps3 but hey you could be right, anyone could be right, no one can predict the future



                 With regard to Call of Duty 4 having an ultra short single player campaign, I guess it may well have been due to the size limitations of DVD on the XBox 360, one of various limitations multi-platform game designers will have to take into consideration-Mike B   

Proud supporter of all 3 console companys

Proud owner of 360wii and DS/psp              

Game trailers-Halo 3 only dissapointed the people who wanted to be dissapointed.

Bet with Harvey Birdman that Lost Odyssey will sell more then Blue dragon did.
leo-j said:
dtewi said:
You think over 100 Million people are gonna buy PS3 because of brand loyalty!?!? Well do you know that the Wii isn't gonna sell because it's a nintendo system. But come on, once it get's two price cuts, it will be late 2008/early 2009 and the sales gap will be FAR too large for the PS3 to come back to win the war. Wii is NOT a fad, even if it sales start to decline, the effect christmas will have on the Wii will shoot it right back up and it will sell well into 2008.price is truly the culprit for the PS3 then Sony is screwed

The price is what holds down the ps3 from selling ps2 numbers. We see a $399.99 or $349.99 80gb ps3 or 40gb ps3, it will outsell anything out there but maybe not the wii. I never said the wii is a fad. "If" we see the ps3 near 10million units this christmas it has a chance to surpass nintendo's console. The $399.99 is the ps3's sweet spot for rocket high sales.

Also I expect the price to drop in march, psp dropped to $169.99 in march ps2 dropped to $299.99 in march, and ps1 dropped in price as well in the same month. Like I said history repeats itself. If ps3 were to rocket up in sales higher than the wii, it needs ALOT OF GOOD 3RD PARTY EXCLUSIVES, and AAA EXCLUSIVE TITLES. Why do you think every sony fan praises killzone 2? It has a chance of being the 4 x A EXCLUSIVE, and best shooter yet.


 This argument gets me so steamed I'll even ignore the lack of basic grammar. (even though it is better than most on here)

Earlier, you made a post making fun of someone for using 'what-ifs' and herer you are talking about a $400 PS3. Please, someone...does the concept of selling a console at a huge loss not register with a lot of the Sony fans here?

The OMGzorz!!!!!!!! Lair, Killzone 2, FFXXX will be the bestest game in the friggin' world! Argument is only good to those who are reaching desperately for an answer to why their precious console is in 3rd place behind a "fad" and a melting ring of death.

You know what Resistance is getting outsold by? Mario Party 8. LMAO! Your best game is getting outsold by a kiddie game on the Wii. That, and Resistance has been out for 20 weeks longer than MP8.

Don't get me wrong, it's been less than a year for Sony and less than two for the entire generation, there's still some room to maneuver. The way things are now will not be the way they'll always be.

 

I guess my main point is this, if you love Sony/Nintendo/Microsoft, fine, just don't be so blindly a follower that it distorts your view of reality. 



 

Currently playing: Civ 6

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yeah PS3 has strongest stand alone titles but on the other hand 360 has a pretty huge B+ line up to balance (i'm simplifying, it's basically on one side you have 3 really good heavy weights and on the other a large number of good light weights)....

well I'm tough on PS 3 because the market is tough on them right now.... and no you can't predict the future for sure but you can do an accurate/precise estimation by statistical analyzis and anticipation of market behavior... they do that everyday on TV with the meteo and the NYSE.... and I do that for my job... I'm not saying my guess is right because VG is not my main field of expertise and i'm not documented enough to be with a level of accuracy higher than 65% (which is not that bad, considering that the web is almost my only source of info, which is a really poor resource of FREE information for that kind of job)... but I wanted to say that with the right survey and studies in hand plus the right detailed figures (VGchartz X 100 in term of detail of the market WW) and the right knowledge of the market (yeah don't ask meteorologist to do the analysis lol)you can get at about 80% to 90% level of accuracy for 2008/2009 results.... so you can say that the future is somehow predictable with the right thing in hand and in head lol :)



endimion said:
yeah PS3 has strongest stand alone titles but on the other hand 360 has a pretty huge B+ line up to balance (i'm simplifying, it's basically on one side you have 3 really good heavy weights and on the other a large number of good light weights)....

well I'm tough on PS 3 because the market is tough on them right now.... and no you can't predict the future for sure but you can do an accurate/precise estimation by statistical analyzis and anticipation of market behavior... they do that everyday on TV with the meteo and the NYSE.... and I do that for my job... I'm not saying my guess is right because VG is not my main field of expertise and i'm not documented enough to be with a level of accuracy higher than 65% (which is not that bad, considering that the web is almost my only source of info, which is a really poor resource of FREE information for that kind of job)... but I wanted to say that with the right survey and studies in hand plus the right detailed figures (VGchartz X 100 in term of detail of the market WW) and the right knowledge of the market (yeah don't ask meteorologist to do the analysis lol)you can get at about 80% to 90% level of accuracy for 2008/2009 results.... so you can say that the future is somehow predictable with the right thing in hand and in head lol :)

Hahaha i compeletely agree =)

I like your multiple lightweights vs a few heavy weights statement it sounds right =)

and yes it can be accurate, if and only if you have the right info



                 With regard to Call of Duty 4 having an ultra short single player campaign, I guess it may well have been due to the size limitations of DVD on the XBox 360, one of various limitations multi-platform game designers will have to take into consideration-Mike B   

Proud supporter of all 3 console companys

Proud owner of 360wii and DS/psp              

Game trailers-Halo 3 only dissapointed the people who wanted to be dissapointed.

Bet with Harvey Birdman that Lost Odyssey will sell more then Blue dragon did.
robjoh said:
Bonafide732 said:
Lost tears of Kain said:
robjoh said:
Bonafide732 said:
ps3 doesnt stand a chance to pass the 360 this year.. maybe a year from now.. since GTA will sell more ps3's next year instead of 360's and with MGS4 and killzone all coming out relativley close together at the moment

Why? Wouldn't the extra material that now should appear almost at the same time as the launch give 360 an edge?


Id think so


i just think that if i was a new console buyer... or someone upgrading from the ps2 or xbox generation.. early next year would be the perfect time to get a console....if i knew killzone MGS4 GTA IV were coming out so close to each other i would choose to get a ps3... those are potentially 3 blockbuster games.. yes the 360 version of GTA is better than the ps3 version because of the extra content.. but you gotta ask yourselves this question does that really matter in terms of choosing a system to buy?? i dont think it does.. what about you?? Now for me personally i might get the 360 version of GTA.. but just focus on new console buyers and not current ones and think about what i said.. i could mention that the ps3 will probably have another price drop by that time to help sales even more but im not gonna mention something that has not happened yet.. so i ask that anyone else does the same in response to my topic..


 Well if I was a GTA fan, I ain't, which is going to buy a consol because of GTA4 I would go for that one that gave me the most game for the bucks, and that will be xbox360 simply because the extra content. Don't you think microsoft will advertise like hell that they have extra content coming in to GTA4?

About other games, at the release of GTA4 xbox360 will have more exclusive games than PS3 and they will have more games in pre-used or price cut boxes. Something I don't think should be underestimated when it comes to chosing a consol.

Of course all this is speculation and I can be wrong but if I was a diehard GTA4 fan (which I don't think 14 million users are) I would go for the xbox360. If I was a casual gamer that liked GTA last gen I would go for xbox360 because the other games in the library. 


well it seems like the hardcore GTA fans would pick up the 360 version.. but you gotta ask how many of those 14 million are hardcore??? most people just wanna pick up the game kill some people for a couple hours and thats it.. the casual fan might decide to get the ps3 version just because the ps3's library is broader than the 360's.. you have to remember we are talking about next year so many good titles will have already been released on the ps3... on top of the ones i mentioned earlier..



THe oNLY TRue STuPiDiTY iS THe aCCePTaNCe oF iGNoRaNCe 

PSNTAG K_I_N_G__COKE

  The King Of The Iron Fist tournament

People keep saying that it can't possibly happen ever. They throw out sales numbers that show 600k per month needed,etc. But, many of you seem to have forgotten what just happened with the Wii.

The Wii was also about 5.3m behind the 360 at launch. Now, 9 months later, the Wii is about to pass 360 in total sales. The PS3 is now about 6.2m units behind, given the right combination of demand, it can pass the 360, just like the Wii did. That is why I am saying 65% chance. It will require the games and price to hit the sweet spot for the millions of gamers out there who still have not purchased any nex-gen machine.

The question is can it? Can the PS3 get to the $250 price area at the same time as its probably 2008 killer aps launch? I don't think so. Which is why I lean towards 360 maintaining its lead over PS3. But, I guess we will eventually know.



superchunk said:
People keep saying that it can't possibly happen ever. They throw out sales numbers that show 600k per month needed,etc. But, what everyone of you that say this definite is that you forgot what just happened with the Wii.

The Wii was also about 5.3m behind the 360 at launch. Now, 9 months later, the Wii is about to pass 360 in total sales. The PS3 is now about 6.2m units behind, given the right combination of demand, it can pass the 360, just like the Wii did. That is why I am saying 65% chance. It will require the games and price to hit the sweet spot for the millions of gamers out there who still have not purchased any nex-gen machine.

The question is can it? Can the PS3 get to the $250 price area at the same time as its probably 2008 killer aps launch? I don't think so. Which is why I lean towards 360 maintaining its lead over PS3. But, I guess we will eventually know.

Is anyone actually saying it's literally impossible? I think most are jsut saying it's improbable. That's what I'm saying, at least, and that's different.

Another question: does anyone here believe the PS3 will ever surpass the 360 in the US? If the odds of the PS3 surpassing the 360 are 50/50 worldwide (That's my opinion, at least), then I think the odds of a US eclipse are around 15/85 against. 



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