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superchunk said:
People keep saying that it can't possibly happen ever. They throw out sales numbers that show 600k per month needed,etc. But, what everyone of you that say this definite is that you forgot what just happened with the Wii.

The Wii was also about 5.3m behind the 360 at launch. Now, 9 months later, the Wii is about to pass 360 in total sales. The PS3 is now about 6.2m units behind, given the right combination of demand, it can pass the 360, just like the Wii did. That is why I am saying 65% chance. It will require the games and price to hit the sweet spot for the millions of gamers out there who still have not purchased any nex-gen machine.

The question is can it? Can the PS3 get to the $250 price area at the same time as its probably 2008 killer aps launch? I don't think so. Which is why I lean towards 360 maintaining its lead over PS3. But, I guess we will eventually know.

Is anyone actually saying it's literally impossible? I think most are jsut saying it's improbable. That's what I'm saying, at least, and that's different.

Another question: does anyone here believe the PS3 will ever surpass the 360 in the US? If the odds of the PS3 surpassing the 360 are 50/50 worldwide (That's my opinion, at least), then I think the odds of a US eclipse are around 15/85 against. 



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