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Forums - Sales - Time for a "Line in the Sand" - Hot Shots Golf (Japan)

DarkNight_DS on 16 July 2007
RolStoppable said:

80k - first week

150k - first month

Hardware up by 80 % in first week, down to 10-12k after first month.

Low expectations, but in the past PS3 hardware and software sales were lower than most people expected them to be when major games were released, so that's why. Also, these are guesses anyway.

 
You've got the best answer and you will most likely be correct. 

 



Prepare for termination! It is the only logical thing to do, for I am only loyal to Megatron.

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Lingyis on 16 July 2007

100k first week

160k first month

250k liftime

1/3 of DQ Wii on both accounts seems just about right--the user base is 1 to 3 in japan.



the Wii is an epidemic.

megaxl on 16 July 2007

300k first week

500k first month

700k lifetime

optimist numbers, i am not fanboy of any company in specify so i can say any numbers and not to cry or to laugh, i only hope good numbers for the all game industry. 



Quickdraw McGraw on 16 July 2007

I expect this game to have a less-than-stellar debut, but decent legs.

First week -- 110k
First Month -- 225k

When all is said and done I expect close to/around 500k, if not more.



johnsobas on 17 July 2007
DarkNight_DS said:
RolStoppable said:

80k - first week

150k - first month

Hardware up by 80 % in first week, down to 10-12k after first month.

Low expectations, but in the past PS3 hardware and software sales were lower than most people expected them to be when major games were released, so that's why. Also, these are guesses anyway.

 
You've got the best answer and you will most likely be correct. 

 

Come on guys, this game has 300k first week shipment.  That is only 50k less than DQS, and although I think retailers are overestimating it a bit, they have a much better idea about the demand of this game than you guys do.  They are not going to order 300k for first week and only sell 80k, that would be a massive miscalculation.  Even if it sells 175k in the first week that would be an overestimation by retailers.

 



currently playing: Skyward Sword, Mario Sunshine, Xenoblade Chronicles X

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naznatips on 17 July 2007
ckmlb said:
150,000 first week
300,000 first month

I like your numbers ckmlb, I'm going with them. 



Galaki on 17 July 2007

week/month: 200/300k



Pre-order limited edition Blue Slime Condoms

TheSource on 17 July 2007

The same data I base the preliminary Japanese weekly data on suggests an opening week of at least 150,000 units.  The number of preorders for the game from this data are about 2/3 of Dragon Quest Swords....

I'll say 230,000 first week...

40,000 second week...

6,000 third week...

2,000 fourth week.

In other words: Opening Week - 230,000/Opening Month - 278,000

I'm expecting a huge opening week, but then the realities of a 1 million userbase come in to play, and sales will drop quickly.  No way this game has over a 25% attach rate after 4 weeks if you ask me.

When the userbase gets significantly bigger I think this game can have sales approaching or slightly over 500,000...  



People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.

When there are more laws, there are more criminals.

- Lao Tzu

johnsobas on 17 July 2007

uh DQ swords had 350k preorders while this game has 300k, that's not 2/3



currently playing: Skyward Sword, Mario Sunshine, Xenoblade Chronicles X

Xyrax on 17 July 2007
johnsobas said:
DarkNight_DS said:
RolStoppable said:

80k - first week

150k - first month

Hardware up by 80 % in first week, down to 10-12k after first month.

Low expectations, but in the past PS3 hardware and software sales were lower than most people expected them to be when major games were released, so that's why. Also, these are guesses anyway.

You've got the best answer and you will most likely be correct.

 

Come on guys, this game has 300k first week shipment. That is only 50k less than DQS, and although I think retailers are overestimating it a bit, they have a much better idea about the demand of this game than you guys do. They are not going to order 300k for first week and only sell 80k, that would be a massive miscalculation. Even if it sells 175k in the first week that would be an overestimation by retailers.

 


 Its the history. Thats why I cant go higher. Gundam also massively over shipped with retailers expecting more, same with Virtua Fighter. I know that potential is there. I just cant predict any higher than 140k with the way the PS3 is trending. If they could manage 200k or more on the first week, I would absolutely backflip! I hate the wait! HATE HATE. God. Sinobis first day numbers cant come soon enough.