Xbox 360 will beat 50m first than Ps3, I think that the Xbox 360 will get more cheaper next year with the Slim version and they will sell more than 12m units only next year, No metter how cheap the Ps3 can be, the xbox will be more and have more games, 2009 will be a good year to Xbox in Japan as more and more games come.

Xbox 360 will always be cheaper, Ps3: bluetooth + WiFi + Cell + BluRay + Memory cards readers...

And very soon (mabe in 2009) we will see a version of Xbox 360 with Blu Ray (to play movies).

Here is where you lost your credibility.

I felt he lost it before that line...

The rest of the stuff is at least realistic.

As XB360 still has some momentum left, while PS3 started gaining it since last Xmas, I'd guess XB360 could get 30 million before PS3, but PS3 could hit 50 million goal before it. And most probably Wii will hit 50 million before PS3 and XB360 hit 30 million both.

Price cuts. It's already managed to sell 16 million while costing $400-$600. That's pretty damn good.

Increased HDTV/Blu-Ray popularity 

It's going to finally take off in Japan when FF13 comes out. 1 game turned around the PSP's fortunes in Japan and it wasn't even a Final Fantasy game.

It'll probably get a slim model released next year.

yes it will things will be looking up for the PS3. 2011 ps3 50 million

It is imposible to say. With the momentum that both systems have right now both will easly make 50M.

07
PS3 360
7.93M 8.10M

07 Oct. 20 Jan 5 08
PS3 360
4.00M 3.77M

08 Thru Oct. 13
PS3 360
7.04M 5.61M

08 if holiday sales equale last year
PS3 360
11.04M 9.38M

As you can see both systems are well on pace to sell better year over year. PS3 has made a much bigger leap should the numbers remain similar to last year, while the 360 should sell a respectable 1M more.

Next year will be a very intersting year for this generation. We will enter the year with the 360 having a model + and - $50 dollars of the Wii in the US, and (2) models below the Wii in EU and Japan. Sony will be at 15 months without a price drop, and still being as much as $200 dollars more than the compotition. Nintendo will be at 27 months without a cut and more than likly, still selling out supply.

Between 360 and PS3 thing could happen many differant ways. Blu-ray could become a big enough thing this holiday to really start being a sales point for the PS3, or it could fail and be just a small side note. 360 could pick up a ton of momentum this holiday, and Sony will have to really do something early next year. PS3 could pick up the momentum this holiday, and that would leave the 360 against a wall next year. All of the above is fact, and we must go into the next year knowing this. Now that I have given sold data I will move on to my prediction.

For the rest of this year I expect to see the PS3 take over and create a wider and wider gap (between 360 and itself). Little Big Planet and Home are both causal games/experinaces that are only going to begin to help the PS3 this holiday. Blu-ray sales are going to explode, and it will make the PS3 a very disired gift. Every store will be pushing Blu-ray as the must have item this year, and every CE company will be putting out amazing deals. This can only be a good thing for the PS3.

Now the PS3 doing well does not mean the 360 will fail. With a price option below the Wii I feel it will get a lot of impulse buyes from Grandparents this holiday. The new Xbox experiance and Banjo will help show the softer side of the console, and the nextflix deal will help move a few consoles. I expect both consoles to exceed last years holiday numbers by at least 15%.

Going into next year I expect the PS3 will fall down very close to 360 as the price differance really starts to become a factor. This will force Sony to drop the price of the console and I expect it to happen in late March with the Killzone 2 launch. After this PS3 will begin to outsell 360 by bigger gaps than we saw this year, but I expect that both will be selling more per week year over year. Next year we will see the first time the HD consoles start to effect the Wii and this is going to cause Nintendo to do one of three things.

1) Introduce new colors.
2) Drop the price in August
3) Do both 1 and 2

By E3 of next year we will most likely see a 40/35/25 market for the year being Wii/PS3/360 respectivly. This will cuase the above actions to be taken by Nintedno, and it will mean both Sony and Microsoft must react. The best move Microsoft could make at this point would be to offer built in Blu-ray for all future Eilites, and an add-on drive for all older 360's. They should also add a small harddrive to the arcade, and up the size of the drives in both the other models. Sony will need to expand the base harddrive size, and bring back PS2 by adding software emulation. They have got to add a PS2 section to the PSStore by next year. Next year has to be the last for PS2.

Both Microsoft and Sony should be showing slim models of their systems come next E3. I do not expect a price cut with these new modles as both companies will be doing good saleswise, and they will be more interested in getting back losses. By themsleves the new slimmer models will do enough to do wonders for both systems. Both should become more popular in Japan, and to a smaller degree the US, and Europe. It will also be a good time for existing owners, and fanboys to purchase another console.

By the end of next year both the PS3 and 360 should be sitting right on the edge of if not over 40M. That will leave 10M or less to go tell they hit 50M, and I completly expect that to happen. In 2010 both systems will see another round of price cuts, and this will put both the basic PS3, and the best value 360 at the $199 price point. Wii should be down to $149 at this point, and being easly outsold by PS3 and mabye even slightly under the 360. Features like IPTV, VOD, DVR, and MOD will allow people to use the PS3/360 instead of a cable box. This along with a massive demand for both Blu-ray, and other HD uses will put a strain on the Wii. With prices of both HDTV's and HD consoles down to a mass market point, both systems will finally hit the point were they are actually meaningful to the majority of people.

The PS3 have caught the 360 by the end of 2009, and will be selling faster than any other console come 2010. This will mean that it finds 50M faster than the 360, but both should do it in the same year. So please remeber I said these are (MY) predictions, and as so I have stated them as fact. I have no problem when others do the same, because if you can't stand on what you believe then you are a sorry, sorry person. Just look at religious people. They state god as fact, and it is all opinion and no proof. So go ahead and attck my ideas, but not how I presented them.

360 will beat it. The games on the 360 just seem to be more popular this gen, witch translates into more hardware sales.