TWRoO on 19 October 2008
| KBG29 said: It is imposible to say. With the momentum that both systems have right now both will easly make 50M. I think they will both make it, but it isn't going to be easy (it will be near or even after the next XB/PS4 releases) As you can see both systems are well on pace to sell better year over year. Well yes, that happens to most consoles.PS3 has made a much bigger leap should the numbers remain similar to last year, while the 360 should sell a respectable 1M more. For the rest of this year I expect to see the PS3 take over and create a wider and wider gap The PS3 hasn't caught up yet, it's closing the gap not making it wider, I suppose you could be talking weekly but PS3 is also behind 360 at the moment for that too. (between 360 and itself). I expect both consoles to exceed last years holiday numbers by at least 15%. Again: Well yes, that happens to most consoles. . Next year we will see the first time the HD consoles start to effect the Wii and this is going to cause Nintendo to do one of three things. 1) Introduce new colors. 2) Drop the price in August 3) Do both 1 and 2 This sounds more like hope than a prediction, although personally the 3 things you mentioned might happen anyway without the cause being "HD consoles affected sales". By E3 of next year we will most likely see a 40/35/25 market for the year being Wii/PS3/360 respectivly. This will cuase the above actions to be taken by Nintedno, and it will mean both Sony and Microsoft must react. The best move Microsoft could make at this point would be to offer built in Blu-ray for all future Eilites, and an add-on drive for all older 360's. They should also add a small harddrive to the arcade, Small HDDs are not very cost effective, this is why they upped the 20G to 60G and up the size of the drives in both the other models. Sony will need to expand the base harddrive size, and bring back PS2 by adding software emulation. They have got to add a PS2 section to the PSStore by next year. Next year has to be the last for PS2. By the end of next year both the PS3 and 360 should be sitting right on the edge of if not over 40M. I'd like to see that, that would be near 20 million consoles for the PS3, and another 13-14 million for the 360 despite the probability it will decline next year. That will leave 10M or less to go tell they hit 50M, and I completly expect that to happen. In 2010 both systems will see another round of price cuts,If they are selling so well why do they need cuts? and this will put both the basic PS3, and the best value 360 at the $199 price point. Wii should be down to $149 at this point, and being easly outsold by PS3 and mabye even slightly under the 360. Features like IPTV, VOD, DVR, and MOD will allow people to use the PS3/360 instead of a cable box. None of these features extra to gaming seem to help at all now, why will they next year, and a freeview box can be bought here in the UK for £15-20.This along with a massive demand for both Blu-ray, and other HD uses will put a strain on the Wii. With prices of both HDTV's and HD consoles down to a mass market point, both systems will finally hit the point were they are actually meaningful to the majority of people. It's been said before, but it is a good point, the Gamecube started out at this magic "mass market price point" that Pachter invented, didn't seem to help it much.... neither did it help the Xbox when it went below the price of a PS2, despite it's better features like online structure and hardware. The PS3 have caught the 360 by the end of 2009,This seems a valid prediction, I am predicting early 2010. and will be selling faster than any other console come 2010. Ok sure  This will mean that it finds 50M faster than the 360, but both should do it in the same year. So please remeber I said these are (MY) predictions, and as so I have stated them as fact. I have no problem when others do the same, because if you can't stand on what you believe then you are a sorry, sorry person. Just look at religious people. They state god as fact, and it is all opinion and no proof. So go ahead and attck my ideas, but not how I presented them. Thanks... I have. |
