axumblade said: I think it should be at 50% by the end of the year....no need for suicide. I think most of the battles are going to be done through software this year. Probably a couple of weeks this year the PS3 and the 360 will sell more consoles (due to people biting the bullet for systems because (Fable 2, Gears 2, Resistance 2, Little Big Planet). But otherwise, it's a pretty open and shut case. |
Ah, you're right. No denying that logic. It's open and shut.
All the Wii has to do is outsell the PS360 by an average of 1 million units per month during September, October, November and December and it will reach 50%.
As far as I know, the Wii hasn't accomplished that feat even a single time ever yet. And yet most of the people in this thread are predicting that the Wii will average that. Let's look at November+december+1 week January holiday season last year and see how the Wii did vs the PS360 during those two months:
Wii: 6.345 million sales
PS360: 3.727 + 3.389 = 7.116 million sales.
So during the two holiday months last year, the PS360 outsold the Wii by 771,000 units. And yet you have people in here predicting that the Wii will somehow outperform them this year during the holiday season to the tune of 3 million or better.
To do that this year, unquestionably, the Wii would have to have far better than a 10 million unit holiday season (November - first week of Jan). That also assumes the PS360 would have a miserable 7 million unit holiday season combined -- selling an average of 3.5 million in the two biggest months of the year, world wide, between them. That would be slightly worse performance than last year. And by all accounts, both systems should crush last year's holiday sales now: they're both cheaper, they both have a better line up. And both of their sales are drastically up year-over-year.