2-3 years!!
| JGarret said: I've been on the fence about getting a DS lately...I've always been much more of a "console guy", but I guess I'm willing to give handheld gaming a try. The DS is now what, in its 4th year?....with amazing sales every month, I imagine they wouldn't have a reason to introduce a new handheld at least for the next 2 or 3 years, right? If I get one now, the level of support from 3rd parties for the next 3 years won't really let me down, right?
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The level of support from the DS won't drop off until Nintendo gets in deep with the new handheld, whenever that is. Simply put however, if all DS support ended on December 31st 2008, you would still never get to the bottom of the amazing lineup, so don't worry.
Tag: Became a freaking mod and a complete douche, coincidentally, at the same time.
2010 at the earliest. If so, then they should announce it at GDC in March of 2010. E3 in July would seem a little late.
Onyxmeth said:
The level of support from the DS won't drop off until Nintendo gets in deep with the new handheld, whenever that is. Simply put however, if all DS support ended on December 31st 2008, you would still never get to the bottom of the amazing lineup, so don't worry. |
I second this. I still have a backlog of 7-8 games that I have yet to open......and a few more I plan to buy before the year is up.
I think Japan will see some kind of new DS model introduced within a year. The west will get it for the following holiday since sales are stronger.
DS2 won't be out for a while though.
DS is closing in on 80m sellthrough and shipped in its fourth full year, about 45 months from the USA launch. Its not hard to imagine it doing 150m given that GBA took 7+ years to do 81m shipped.
Nintendo probably has a numer in mind. Once sales drop below x in Japan, or y worldwide, a new model or a new DS will be introduced.
I think the number is 1.5m/year in Japan, and 15m worldwide in a year.
But...DS will do ~2.5m+ in Japan, and probably more like 3.5m or 4m in Japan this year. Worldwide DS shipments for the year ending March 2009 should be 28m as Nintendo projects. So after that, you can probably expect ~20m shipped in the year ending March 2010, followed by something like 13m in the year ending March 2011. To me, that fiscal year is the logical time to introduce the new DS. I'd go November 2010 for Japan, March 2011 west. But DS may still ship ~20-25m after the successor comes out (10m year ending March 2012, 7m year ending March 2013, 4m year ending March 2014, 1m year ending March 2015.)
People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.
When there are more laws, there are more criminals.
- Lao Tzu
I expect to see something in a near final form next year with a release either by 2009 xmas or spring 2010.
Only after PSP2 and after sales REALLY slowdown.
2010-2012. Around that timeframe. Expect a new DS model though in between that time.
http://www.g4tv.com/thefeed/blog/post/687751/Nintendos_Next_Handheld_Ready.html
It may be introduced as early as this year!
until DS stops seling like crazy. i dont think the next one should have two screens as the potential of that has basicaly been done. but that will limt BC. then again do u need that?
nintendo fanboy, but the good kind
proud soldier of nintopia
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