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Forums - Sales - The Conduit sales prediction

Cheebee on 18 July 2008

Hmm, I found MP3 to be the easiest, most intuitive and most enjoyable of the series, actually. If you just searched every area thoroughly the first time you went there you'd have no problems.



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Riachu on 18 July 2008
Aj_habfan said:
It won't get close to a million first week. It will sell like crap in Japan obviously, and it's hype isn't outside of the internet - I'd predict 350k first week.

Well, ususally, there isn't much hype for any game outside of the internet until it is about to come out which is when all of the marketing happens.

 



 

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kirby007 on 18 July 2008
Riachu said:
Aj_habfan said:
It won't get close to a million first week. It will sell like crap in Japan obviously, and it's hype isn't outside of the internet - I'd predict 350k first week.

Well, ususally, there isn't much hype for any game outside of the internet until it is about to come out which is when all of the marketing happens.

 

the way things look now it seems like it will do a zack&wiki

 



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melbye on 18 July 2008

If they actually market the thing i say 2 million lifetime, if not 300000



Riachu on 18 July 2008
kirby007 said:
Riachu said:
Aj_habfan said:
It won't get close to a million first week. It will sell like crap in Japan obviously, and it's hype isn't outside of the internet - I'd predict 350k first week.

Well, ususally, there isn't much hype for any game outside of the internet until it is about to come out which is when all of the marketing happens.

 

the way things look now it seems like it will do a zack&wiki

 

Zack and Wiki was in a genre that doesn't sell very well.  The Conduit, on the other hand, is a FPS which happens to be one of the hottests genres right now

 



 

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kirby007 on 18 July 2008
Riachu said:
kirby007 said:
Riachu said:
Aj_habfan said:
It won't get close to a million first week. It will sell like crap in Japan obviously, and it's hype isn't outside of the internet - I'd predict 350k first week.

Well, ususally, there isn't much hype for any game outside of the internet until it is about to come out which is when all of the marketing happens.

 

the way things look now it seems like it will do a zack&wiki

 

Zack and Wiki was in a genre that doesn't sell very well.  The Conduit, on the other hand, is a FPS which happens to be one of the hottests genres right now

 

 

I can only say one thing : time will tell



 "I think people should define the word crap" - Kirby007

Join the Prediction League http://www.vgchartz.com/predictions

Instead of seeking to convince others, we can be open to changing our own minds, and seek out information that contradicts our own steadfast point of view. Maybe it’ll turn out that those who disagree with you actually have a solid grasp of the facts. There’s a slight possibility that, after all, you’re the one who’s wrong.

alpha_dk on 18 July 2008
kirby007 said:
Riachu said:
Aj_habfan said:
It won't get close to a million first week. It will sell like crap in Japan obviously, and it's hype isn't outside of the internet - I'd predict 350k first week.

Well, ususally, there isn't much hype for any game outside of the internet until it is about to come out which is when all of the marketing happens.

 

the way things look now it seems like it will do a zack&wiki

 

I wouldn't necessarily say that... online shooters are the kind of game that will sell much easier based on word of mouth than a point and click single player game.

"Oh, hey joe.  I just picked up this sweet game called the conduit.  You should get it, we can play each other."

vs.

"Oh, hey joe.  I just picked up this sweet game called Zack and Wiki.  You should check it out.  Oh... I guess you can borrow it, sure."

Of course, it really all devolves into advertisements.  It's not as though Assassin's creed (which someone mentioned earlier in the thread) would have gone anywhere without its ads playing practically 24/7 on some channels...



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Zucas on 18 July 2008

Yea Red Steel and MP3 platinum. MOHH2 and CoD 3 don't have others sales so they are probably both gold. I mean how is that not having those titles sell well haha. Shooters sell well on every platform.



kirby007 on 18 July 2008
Soriku said:
kirby007 said:
Riachu said:
kirby007 said:
Riachu said:
DTG said:
LOL, it'll be lucky to break 500 k in its lifetime.

FAIL. Haze would be lucky to break 500K lifetime and that is because it sucked. The Conduit has a lot of hype and the quality so far seems to be there.

 

 

we will see, but i'm with DTG on this one

The Conduit is going to sell great because:

1.it has a lot of hype

2.there are few, if any, competitors for shooters on the Wii

3.the game is looking great

 

1. it's totally new

2. shooters tend too underperform on the wii

3. why should wii owners care? a normal xbox360 or ps3 game looks better

 


1. OK. That means it's potential is unknown, BUT for all we know it could be a huge seller. New IPs can sell really well or sell really bad. Same with any other game.

2. Since when? Red Steel is a million seller, Metroid is a million seller, and MoH didn't sell well because it's the same old same old WW II setting but still sold over 200k which is enough to make a profit.

3. Wow. THIS is what you pulled? First of all, The Conduit graphically wise looks really good and thye have 9 more months to polish it up. The final product should look great. Second, how do you know those Wii owners already own a PS3 or 360? There's plenty of Wii only owners and even if games on the PS3/360 "look better" doesn't mean multiconsole owners are going to skip out on this, especially if they're FPS fans. Third, if you're gonna apply that to The Conduit then why don't you just apply it to every other game? "Wii has worser graphics than the PS3 and 360! Quick, sell your Wiis and buy an HD console!" - it doesn't work that way. If this isn't happening to any other game then why should that happen to The Conduit?

1. what new ips sell good on a nintendo console?

2. red steel was one of the few games available at that time, metroid is nintendo ip

3.a have you seen great open spaces, lots of enemies?

3.b because the conduit is hyped because of its graphics

 



 "I think people should define the word crap" - Kirby007

Join the Prediction League http://www.vgchartz.com/predictions

Instead of seeking to convince others, we can be open to changing our own minds, and seek out information that contradicts our own steadfast point of view. Maybe it’ll turn out that those who disagree with you actually have a solid grasp of the facts. There’s a slight possibility that, after all, you’re the one who’s wrong.

sc94597 on 18 July 2008

100-300k first week, 1-2.5mln lifetime. Wii games usually have strong legs.