^well those games you talk about are few and far between

^hmm im not so sure about that,i think alot of them will release their big gasmes on wii after seeing how mus\ch it has sold and is still selling,like with MH3

Ah, I see. If the question is "Will the Wii ever hit 50 percent market share" then it is very probable that it will. Will it keep it? There is no telling.

That said, I think you should base your predictions on current trends, not predictions based on the assumption that the PS3 is just a great system that everyone will eventually want, lol.

It might be a great system, but as we've seen, there is probably not gonna be a huge tide turning swing in favor of any one console.

Correct me if I'm wrong, but you still believe the PS3 has a high chance of outselling the Wii by itself, correct?

wii will outsell ps360 in Q4 2008 or Q1 2009. wii has pretty unlimited userbase since we get games for new gamers(casuals) and core gamers who likes every kind of game(from jrpgs to fps). ps360 has mainly multiplatform games, mostly fps and tps and couple of games from different genres, but still it isn't even comparable with wii suport(except fps and tps). fps/tpf fanbase isn't unlimited and developers are bringing more exclusive core games to wii so it will gather many ps360 owners to nintendo console plus people who have been waiting for a leader. besides wii didn't get a single pricecut yet and still is outselling ps360 with shortages. i'm guessing that wii will gather about 65-70% and ps360 30-35 by the end of this generation.

i think wii will eventually start dropping off in the coming years

I think the new Xbox and a Wii2 will come in 2010, until that the Wii will get over 50% of the market.

Considering how conservative Nintendo are they will probably never increase production to a level sufficient to ensure this happens.