^ He means by how many units will the PS3 outsells the 360 in the week where July 12 falls (one month from now).

brute said: Everstar said: 1.Im going to go out on a limb here and it will outsale it by only about 20k if that =) 2.IDK what u mean 3.Nope i didnt really get the second qustion to,can you explain starcraft

I mean a month from now, what lead over the 360 in week-to-week sales will the PS3 have sustained?

 

oh ok well about the same i guess? MAbey the 360 can pick up sales and end up saling more than the PS3 here after mgs4

500k.

@ starcraft

I thought previously you decribed MGS4 as covering just a niche gerne?

Personally I still think a slimline PS3 and Final Fantasy XIII will have a much bigger impact.

But I also think MGS4 will sell very well and push many consoles, placing the PS3 well ahead in weekly sales compared to the 360 for the rest of the year, of course taking into account entry pricing (the PS3 still costs $100 more than the 360 when it launched) and install base.

MikeB said: @ starcraft It is a long-time Sony-assosciated high-profile title whos predeccessors have all sold over 5 million copies and were popular in all regions. It truly is put-up or shut-up time. I thought previously you decribed MGS4 as covering just a niche gerne? Personally I still think a slimline PS3 and Final Fantasy XIII will have a much bigger impact. But I also think MGS4 will sell very well and push many consoles, placing the PS3 well ahead in weekly sales compared to the 360 for the rest of the year, of course taking into account entry pricing (the PS3 still costs $100 more than the 360 when it launched) and install base.

I did.  I also said that MGS is the overwhelmingly dominant game in that niche genre.

Dominating a niche genre does wonders for profits. *cough* Mario *cough*

Put some numbers up.  I'm pretty sure you didn't envision the 360 getting within 10k a week at any point this year.  What do you expect the lasting difference to be post-MGS4? 

 

USA:

Metal Gear Solid 4: Guns of the Patriots (PS3) 754,875 vg$2,685 0 0% ========= 730k
Dragonball Z: Burst Limit (PS3) 36,267 vg$465 0 0% ====================== 40k
Dragonball Z: Burst Limit (X360) 53,153 vg$505 0 0% ===================== 60k
NASCAR 09 (X360) 38,810 vg$1,085 0 0% ============================== 40k
NASCAR 09 (PS2) 27,842 vg$475 0 0% ================================ 30k
Don King Presents: Prizefighter (X360) 22,919 vg$380 0 0% ================== 25k
Ninja Gaiden 2 (X360) 74,529 vg$1,105 0 0% ============================ 70k
GRID (X360) 32,806 vg$425 0 0% ===================================== 20k
Robert Ludlum\'s Bourne Conspiracy (X360) 32,202 vg$435 0 0% ============== 30k
Wii Fit (Wii) 102,169 vg$760 0 0% ==================================== 70k
DS 97,844 vg$ 2,170 0 1% ========================================== 170k
Wii 128,299 vg$ 1,225 0 1% ========================================= 210k
x360 59,934 vg$ 1,265 0 1% ========================================= 60k
PS3 113,030 vg$ 1,850 0 1% ======================================== 280k
PSP 46,976 vg$ 2,310 0 1% ========================================= 45k

JAPAN:

Metal Gear Solid 4: Guns of the Patriots (PS3) 339,342 vg$1,265 0 0%  ===== 350k
Dragonball Z: Burst Limit (PS3) 19,062 vg$360 0 0% ================= 40k
Shiren the Wanderer 3 (Wii) 17,116 vg$260 0 0% ===================== 20k
Mario Kart Wii (Wii) 25,751 vg$645 0 0% ========================== 30k
Ninja Gaiden 2 (X360) 16,679 vg$365 0 0% ========================= 10k
Monster Hunter Freedom 2nd G (PSP) 19,289 vg$450 0 0% ============== 30k
Powerful Pro Baseball Portable 3 (PSP) 19,923 vg$240 0 0% ============= 20k
Valhalla Knights 2 (PSP) 12,509 vg$230 0 0% ======================== 7k
Family Trainer (Wii) 16,016 vg$220 0 0% =========================== 10k
Dragonball Z: Burst Limit (X360) 4,972 vg$250 0 0% =================== 3k
DS 29,023 vg$ 1,130 0 1% ======================================== 30k
Wii 33,604 vg$ 1,220 0 1% ======================================= 35k
x360 3,676 vg$ 2,420 0 1% ======================================= 2k
PS3 41,880 vg$ 635 0 1% ========================================= 120k
PSP 41,762 vg$ 730 0 1 =========================================== 55k

Once again CrazzyMan lives up to his name.

My answer :

1. 90-100k
2. 50k
3. Nah

So far this year on average PS3 has been outselling 360 by close to 50k per week. Expect this gap to be much bigger after MGS4 release and then at the end of the year.

1. 170K

2. 50K

3. Statistical tie if normal shipment of Wii's in NA, No if large shipment of Wii's in NA (like GTA4 week).