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Forums - Sales - MGS4 - SALES Prediction Thread -- HW & SW

around 1.4 million first week

around 250K hardware.


I'm being conservative here. Personally I still remember the 3 million units prediction by some in the SSBB US launch thread. Don't want that repeating itself, do we? ;)



Soriku (Feb 10/08): In 5 years the PS3/360 will be dead.

KH3 bet: "If KH3 comes to Wii exclusive, I will take a 1 month of sig/avatar by otheres open a thread apologize and praise you guys' brilliance." http://vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?start=50&id=18379
Original cast: Badonkadonkhr, sc94597 allaboutthegames885, kingofwale, Soriku, ctk495, skeezer, RDBRaptor, Mirson,

Episode 1: OOPSY!
selnor
: Too Human I even expect 3-4 mill entire life and 500,000 first day. GoW2 ( expect 7 - 9 million entire life and over 2 mill first day), Fable 2 (expect 5-6 million entire life and 1.5 mill fist day) BK3 (expect 4 - 5 mill sales entire life and 1 mill first day).. Tales/IU/TLR should get to 2 or 3 million! post id: 868878
Episode 2:
Letsdance: FFXIII (PS3+360) first week in NA = 286K
According to pre-order rate in week 13 (post id: 2902544)
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NO thats why I've kept mine low as well..



All hail the KING, Andrespetmonkey

NA 325k
Others 275k
Jap 125k

Hardware boast WW 35k



Hardware:

Japan: 50k
Others: 200k
America: 200k

Software:

Japan: 400k
Others: 500k
America: 500k

That is my not so conservative expectations of the game.

They have about a 31.99724 percent chance of coming true.



@ dmeister, I think there is a 32.5% chance actually



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darthdevidem01 said:
@shanbcn

15K per retailer

 Well not really. Only Gamespot is getting 15k for initial shipment, we don't know yet about other retailers.



Munkeh111 said:
@ dmeister, I think there is a 32.5% chance actually

Rofl.

I rounded down.

But I seriously think that it may be lower, because it will have a seriously stunted week in the Americas.  (most games come out on Tuesday, this comes out on Thursday.

Whatever the result, next monday-wednesday will be epic.

I forsee tons of bannings that day.



My predictions

Hardware: (Total for week)

Japan: 60k
Others: 145k
America:150k

Software:

Japan:135k
Others:450k
America:550K

Playing it safe.



                                   

DMeisterJ said:
Munkeh111 said:
@ dmeister, I think there is a 32.5% chance actually

Rofl.

I rounded down.

But I seriously think that it may be lower, because it will have a seriously stunted week in the Americas.  (most games come out on Tuesday, this comes out on Thursday.


We've heard that one before... Lair, Heavenly Sword, Haze...



Slimebeast said:
DMeisterJ said:
Munkeh111 said:
@ dmeister, I think there is a 32.5% chance actually

Rofl.

I rounded down.

But I seriously think that it may be lower, because it will have a seriously stunted week in the Americas.  (most games come out on Tuesday, this comes out on Thursday.


We've heard that one before... Lair, Heavenly Sword, Haze...


Those were unproven IP's, I don't get your point.