Hmm, makes sense in a way. Although wouldn't it have been better to release the systems as they're made, rather than stockpile them? I know here in the U.S. there's a dearth of supply. Then again, I'm sure there's something I'm missing: I never did have much business sense.
| DMeisterJ said: I think this will be overshadowed by the GTA IV launch of both consoles. But if it's only going to rose fifty percent this year, why would it rise 100 percent this year? I think Wii HW will be: Japan - 65k America - 200k Others - 170k I don't think the Wii stock this week will be that huge, it just had a really good week this week, but it could be big, if Ninty finally got their act together. Others: Are we even tracking Korea? Japan: Golden week will rise sales, but it won't rise like crazy, 100 percent. I also think that GTAIV will overshadow Wii Fit in Others, and MK Wii in America, as I'm sure the pre-orders for those two games don't come near the 4 million or so (In america, per ioi) that GTAIV has among both consoles, not counting "others". |
Are you saying you think the PS3 will sell more than the Wii in hardware in America or Others that week?
What do you mean by overshadowed, from a hardware perspective?
I don't need your console war.
It feeds the rich while it buries the poor.
You're power hungry, spinnin' stories, and bein' graphics whores.
I don't need your console war.
NO NO, NO NO NO.
| noname2200 said: Hmm, makes sense in a way. Although wouldn't it have been better to release the systems as they're made, rather than stockpile them? I know here in the U.S. there's a dearth of supply. Then again, I'm sure there's something I'm missing: I never did have much business sense. |
Not if your trying to not overshoot your predictions, and increase sales early for the next fiscal year,.
I don't need your console war.
It feeds the rich while it buries the poor.
You're power hungry, spinnin' stories, and bein' graphics whores.
I don't need your console war.
NO NO, NO NO NO.
From the numbers you uuys posted, it looks like 400k this week no matter what. I wonder if 'stockpiling' will be in reserve for the highly pushed Wii Fit release here in the states.
Leatherhat on July 6th, 2012 3pm. Vita sales:"3 mil for COD 2 mil for AC. Maybe more. " thehusbo on July 6th, 2012 5pm. Vita sales:"5 mil for COD 2.2 mil for AC."
ZenfoldorVGI said:
Are you saying you think the PS3 will sell more than the Wii in hardware in America or Others that week?
What do you mean by overshadowed, from a hardware perspective? |
The week after this one will be the one that the PS3 outsells the wii in both those regions, I think is what He was trying to say.
| Sky Render said: From the stockpile. Even looking at the raw numbers compared with the overall target rate of 1.8 million units a month that they've had for a while now, it's clear that they've not put every unit made out to retail. January saw about 1.3 million units sold, February about 1.2 million, and March about 1.5 million. Those are all decidedly below 1.8 million. In fact, that leaves 1.4 million units unaccounted for from the January to March shipments. Some of those are units on shelves, of course, but that's a much larger stock of units available worldwide than is feasible for a system in short supply. |
Erm December?
November?
Air Shipping?
I think it was pretty obvious Nintendo were not going to have the full 1.8 million in January when there was a good chunk (I reckon about 1 million) shipped and sold in December instead.
of course Nintendo seems to have spead out the damage across January and February so that January actually had more than 1 weeks worth of consoles.
From now on (April onwards) though we should see a good 1.7 million sold at least each month, Many might argue about China launch etc needing stockpiled units but I don't believe Nintendo will need too many for China even if they do stockpile.
Stockpiling is a standard tactic, especially for conservative business plans. The reasoning is simple: if a product is unavailable when demand is highest, more sales will be lost than if a product is unavailable when demand is lowest. Working off of the various figures Nintendo has given, it seems like they try to keep at least 2 million units stockpiled at a time, and up that stockpile whenever possible in the time leading up to major releases and holiday rushes.
I did a rough calculation based upon what dates I remember Nintendo stated they upped shipments, and came up with this possible distribution:
Launch: 1.0m units available
November 2006: +1.0m (2.0m; sell-through: 0.5m; 1.5m unsold)
December 2006: +1.2m (3.2m; sell-through: 2.9m; 0.3m unsold)
January 2007: +1.2m (4.4m; sell-through: 4.0m; 0.4m unsold)
February 2007: +1.2m (5.6m; sell-through: 4.8m; 0.8m unsold)
March 2007: +1.2m (6.8m; sell-through: 5.8m; 1.0m unsold)
April 2007: +1.2m (8.0m; sell-through: 6.7m; 1.3m unsold)
May 2007: +1.5m (9.5m; sell-through: 7.6m; 1.9m unsold)
June 2007: +1.5m (11.0m; sell-through: 8.9m; 2.1m unsold)
July 2007: +1.5m (12.5m; sell-through: 10.0m; 2.5m unsold)
August 2007: +1.8m (14.3m; sell-through: 11.4m; 2.9m unsold)
September 2007: +1.8m (16.1m; sell-through: 12.6m; 3.5m unsold)
October 2007: +1.8m (17.9m; sell-through: 13.3m; 4.6m unsold)
November 2007: +1.8m (19.7m; sell-through: 15.7m; 4.0m unsold)
December 2007: +1.8m (21.5m; sell-through: 19.3m; 2.2m unsold)
January 2008: +1.8m (23.3m; sell-through: 20.6m; 2.7m unsold)
February 2008: +1.8m (25.1m; sell-through: 22.2m; 2.9m unsold)
March 2008: +1.8m (26.9m; sell-through: 23.5m; 3.4m unsold)
April 2008: +1.8m (28.7m; sell-through: 25.0m; 3.7m unsold)
Even if it's not 100% accurate, you can still see the stockpile effect taking place. Each month leading up to the holidays, there's a gradual increase in units unsold, which drops dramatically by the end of December, then begins to slowly rise again.
Sky Render - Sanity is for the weak.
@ Zen
Actually, I'm talking about PS360. They both have a chance of outselling Wii next week, WW.
@ leo, in Europe I am pretty sure GTAIV will cause PS3 to jump over Wii (and perhaps stay there for 3-4 weeks) 360 might come close or perhaps pass it for 1 week if lucky.
In America if the Wii supply chain (for ioi's sources) has been sorted out, I am not so sure either HD console will be above Wii, ok if the WIi is on a low week (which I suppose it may be as MKWii is within the week after GTAIV) then yes the HD consoles will probably pass Wii, but not for more than 1 week.
Japan will be as usual of course (is GTAIV even launching there yet?)
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