My vote is for 2027. I’ll get into my reasoning momentarily.

I will guess 2028, but wouldnt be surprised if it releases later.

2028 because that's the balance between waiting as a drawn-out generation makes sense while also not waiting too long so whales and enthusiasts can buy it.
I think they should wait until 2029 or 2030, but that's doubtful.

I cant imagine itd be 2027 or we wouldve heard of it by now.
So 2028 at the earliest.

$1200 price tag, $80 games. All digital, no physical. And the start up logo has an evil laugh as background sound.

If we estimate based on their current state of collective intelligence, I'd say before new years.

2028 at the earliest. There isn't a way to launch a significant jump over the ps5 at a decent price. Hardware is simply too expensive at this point in time.

It's hard to say.

If RAM and/or NAND prices are expected to increase or stabilise in 2028/2029, then it stands to reason to launch it in 2027 if it's ready. Because delaying just means it would be more expensive and weaker. If delaying exacerbates a problem rather than solves it, then why delay at all?

In no scenario will a $1000+ PS6 appeal to a hundred million users. But you may as well launch it earlier to appeal to a larger number of enthusiasts.

Tough to say.

Sony say they're making "solid progress" (https://www.vgchartz.com/article/469584/sony-is-making-solid-progress-on-playstation-6-development/) while leaks claim the RAM/SSD in the thing will cost a whopping $650. (https://www.ign.com/articles/playstation-6-ram-and-storage-alone-may-cost-680-according-to-leaker)

They may try to wait out the memory crunch and push the launch back, but I expect there's a limit to how long they can delay when the logistics involved will be well in motion at this point, and I doubt its easy to just put everything involved on hold for an indeterminate length of time; after all, there's no guarantee prices will be much lower by 2029.

Additionally, in the first half of the fiscal year (April - September) Sony Gaming's operating income hit 420 billion yen. Their next half's income (October - March) is projected to drop all the way to 280 billion yen in spite of GTA6 and the holiday quarter. This implies that PS6 R&D and production are about to eat into their profits, which in turn implies a late 2027 or early 2028 PS6 launch.

Sony traditionally made more money in the 2nd half than the 1st, so something is up. Perhaps another explanation is that they intend to sell very high volumes of heavily discounted PS5's for GTA6. Then again, their first half this year was abnormally strong (comparable to their full year record), so a sudden decline in profitability isn't out of the question even without accounting for heavy discounts or PS6.

End of 2028 IMO