Switch 2 numbers are very good, but they will not reach the forecast of 20M.

Switch sold a little more than I anticipated, but still not enough to to put it on track to reach +160M. It will likely fall short.

Pretty sure the forecast was 19m?

https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/nintendo-hikes-operating-forecast-by-16-2025-11-04/

Nintendo just needs to ship another 5 million and it will have officially 100% beaten the PS2 and by a nice comfortable margin

Shoutout to trunks for the writeup! You can see his article here:

https://www.vgchartz.com/article/466930/switch-2-ships-1737-million-units-as-of-december-2025-switch-1-ships-15537-million/

Damn MKW sold 14 times as many copies as Sonic crossworlds

The forecast is 19m - It only needs 1.63m units to get there. It'll get half that with just Japan alone.

Add the US, Europe, and other regions and it would take an utter disaster for them to not reach 19 million, let alone 20 million.

And yet despite not having a heavy hitter and dealing with the worst November gaming has had in decades, it sold just slightly below a holiday with 3D Mario, a strong overall holiday in spending, and a bunch of pent up demand finally being met after shortages. 

Switch 2 sold 7.01 million this quarter.  Holiday quarter of 2017, Switch 1 sold 7.24 million.  So a bit of slowdown, yes, but honestly a pretty remarkable hold given the circumstances.  And the drop is so objectively mild, I hardly think it's time to panic.  

And they seem on track to hit their revised projections from the prior report just fine, probably mildly surpass them.  Honestly, Nintendo seems to have been pretty spot on in anticipating the impact of the various potential issues they might have in the Holiday quarter.

Anybody who thinks Switch 2 shipping 0.5mil under what Switch 1 did during its first holiday *when a supply bottleneck was popped* needs to reassess their expectations: These are phenomenal results for Switch 2. 17mil shipped in only 7 months is unheard of for a nee system.

Looks like we need to adjust it down as we have it too high in RoW. We do have a max of 580K to play with and still have it above 15M for the 4th week of December. Machina will work on that. I'm off to bed as it's really late here and will make some more adjustments to Switch 1 when I get up. 

What I find most interesting is how DKBananza was actually outsold by games such as MPJamboree and Anima Crossing New Horizons. Heck, even Mario Odyssey came close to outselling DK. My theory has to do with that $70USD price tag… DK should’ve done a lot better. Solid figures for a Donkey Kong game, but this is the big system seller besides MarioKart and Pokémon— it’s getting handily beaten by Mario Odyssey and BotW’s first holiday figures.