By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Sales - November 2025 Circana (NPD) Thread + Predictions

trunkswd said:
Norion said:

Given the economic situation console sales are probably gonna be pretty rough in the US January-October next year.

Unless the prices come down I agree. Sales are gonna be bad. December should be good for Switch 2 given several retailers discounted the MK bundle by $50 for Cyber Monday.

If anything the Switch 2 could very well get a price increase next year depending on how this RAM situation develops.



Around the Network

Machina and I are working on the estimates. We will post them as soon as we can.



VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YouTube channel discussing gaming sales and news. Follow me on Bluesky.

I post and adjust the VGChartz hardware estimates, with help from Machina.

Writer of the Sales Comparison | Monthly Hardware Breakdown Monthly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

This was really bad

I thought PS5 had a great November since it outsold Switch 2

Looks like PS5 had a bad November and Switch 2 an also very bad November. This is really shocking news



Lowest month since November 1995 is shocking, not going to lie, that paints a picture of an industry in a lot of trouble.

I think effectively what's happening is anyone who is not in a wealthy household is effectively in a recession in the US. The "real" economy for most people is not good, "average joe consumer" is getting destroyed by inflation that has come in since COVID. 

Nintendo also needs to stop being so freaking secretive about every aspect of the Switch 2, it feels like we get no information on the platform even though it's released, lol. Like why not Nintendo Direct's and all that stuff, you can go overboard with the secrecy. An extremely niche game like Kirby's Air Ride being the big November release was also far from ideal. 

The other problem is it's going to be hard to drop hardware prices because component prices are going up and then you have Trump Tarriffs on top of that.

I don't think PS6 is coming out any time soon either, that will probably be $600-$700 minimum. 



IcaroRibeiro said:

This was really bad

I thought PS5 had a great November since it outsold Switch 2

Looks like PS5 had a bad November and Switch 2 an also very bad November. This is really shocking news

Yeah this. Sales for PS5 should be much better in Europe. PS5 had better discounts in Europe than the US, plus the PS5 is behind the PS4 in Europe leaving more room.



VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YouTube channel discussing gaming sales and news. Follow me on Bluesky.

I post and adjust the VGChartz hardware estimates, with help from Machina.

Writer of the Sales Comparison | Monthly Hardware Breakdown Monthly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

Around the Network
Norion said:
trunkswd said:

Unless the prices come down I agree. Sales are gonna be bad. December should be good for Switch 2 given several retailers discounted the MK bundle by $50 for Cyber Monday.

If anything the Switch 2 could very well get a price increase next year depending on how this RAM situation develops.

I'd be extremely surprised if it doesn't. They already put up the price of accessories to try and eat the tariff costs for the console. With the increased ram and nand prices I don't think they'll have much choice.

Even the manufacturing cost of physical game cartridges will be going up for them.

2026 could be a rough year for the whole industry, but not what you want when you only just launched your new console.



Zippy6 said:
Norion said:

If anything the Switch 2 could very well get a price increase next year depending on how this RAM situation develops.

I'd be extremely surprised if it doesn't. They already put up the price of accessories to try and eat the tariff costs for the console. With the increased ram and nand prices I don't think they'll have much choice.

Even the manufacturing cost of physical game cartridges will be going up for them.

2026 could be a rough year for the whole industry, but not what you want when you only just launched your new console.

Yeah Nintendo is really getting screwed over with the launch timing of the Switch 2 though the Switch 1 had perfect timing so I guess this evens that out. I now expect the PS6 to be late 2028 more than ever since I dunno if 2027 would work any more. 



The most wild thing here has to be just how insanely low Playstation+Xbox sales have gotten. In November 2018 the PS4 sold about 1.25m and the Xbox One just under 1.1m so close to 2.5m in total whereas PS5+Xbox Series didn't even reach 1m this month. Traditional console sales are on a major downward trend. Also Xbox Series has apparently sold worse this month than it did in March so depending on how December goes its best selling month this year might be outside of the holiday season which is a crazy possibility and really illustrates just how drastic its collapse has been this year.

Last edited by Norion - 1 hour ago

The worst November in the entire history of Xbox hardware in their 24 years on the market. We all used to call the console market the Big 3 but it's evident that it's the Big 2 now with Sony and Nintendo carrying the whole console industry. 



Blood_Tears said:

The worst November in the entire history of Xbox hardware in their 24 years on the market. We all used to call the console market the Big 3 but it's evident that it's the Big 2 now with Sony and Nintendo carrying the whole console industry. 

MS has effectively "soft discontinued" the Xbox Series imo.